138bet enhancement Watford/Everton/Tottenham

As Matt has posted on the blog but due to odds changing the potential profit is now a lot more £25.38 I make it out to be. Risk free also so worth a go!

My calculations are…Bet £20 on Watford/Everton/Tottenham is £109.60 returns for me (odds of 5.48) Therefore if it wins they will provide me with £50.40 in free bets. Assume 80% extraction we get £40.32 which gives us returns of £149.92 or £129.92 profit.

Lay £20.41 on Watford @ 1.62 = liability of £12.65
Lay Everton (£20+£12.65)/.98 = £33.32 @ 2.24 = Liability of £41.32.
Lay Tottenham (£20+£12.65+£41.32)/.98 = £75.48 @ 1.67 = Liability of £50.57.

Total profit = £129.92 – £12.65 – £41.32 – £50.57 = £25.38

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RyanB
11

February 20, 2016 at 11:36 am

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Matt
Keymaster
1493 February 20, 2016 at 11:51 am

Just updated the post guys…

https://matchedbettingblog.com/football/138-com-offer-fa-cup-5th-round

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RyanB 11 February 20, 2016 at 11:53 am

Cheers Matt! Just thought i’d let everyone know, I was personally going to leave it but seeing as now its a lot more profitable others might want in!

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RyanB 11 February 20, 2016 at 6:53 pm

Two down if Everton hang on now…just need Tottenham tomorrow for a nice £25!

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silverbirch 0 February 20, 2016 at 8:29 pm

Is it possible to overlay now for guaranteed profit?

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feltt1p 5 February 20, 2016 at 8:45 pm

Yes, just lay as normal (for max profit) then lay again, adjusting your lay stake so the stake and liability add up to the potential max profit.

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silverbirch 0 February 21, 2016 at 5:24 am

Thanks – just wanted to check in case I was missing something in the terms of the price boost

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Mark P 1 February 21, 2016 at 8:48 am

I’m a bit confused about the previous comments as still getting used to under/over laying etc. Could someone assist me? Like a tool after a few beers, I just underlaid the ACCA on Betfair for this but I didn’t take into account losing some of the profit due to it being credited as a free bet. Therefore my current situation is as follows:

£20 @ 5.74 = £114.80 plus £36.16 (£45.20 free bet – 20%) = £150.96 which gives a potential profit of £130.96.

I underlaid it which gave a liability of £126.30 so the profit is around £4 if it wins now. Is there anything I can do to bump this up a bit?

Every day seems to be a lesson in this game!

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RyanB 11 February 21, 2016 at 10:58 am

Mark I tried to explain this on Matts thread but hopefully I can try again! Im sure you know with underlaying if it loses you win and lose nothing. Therefore it doesnt matter regardless of the fact some of the bonus is in free bets, the reason why your profit is much lower than everyone elses is you decided to lay using the betfair Acca market. When Matt first posted this offer due to the odds the profit wasn’t very high hence your small profit as you lay’d straight away. Due to the odds coming right down during Saturday daytime this has allowed us to decrease our liability and thus making more profit if it comes in. As you underlaid it and therefore there is no way of boosting your profit further without taking the added risk of losing money if the acca fails to win. Its a bit of a learning curve im afraid Mate, if the odds were good when you underlaid on betfair your profit would have been about the same as everyone elses, I guess we got lucky that the odds came right down giving us more of a profit..hope this helped!

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Mark P 1 February 21, 2016 at 11:16 am

Thanks for taking the time to reply mate. I expected that but was just wondering if I’d overlooked something. Onwards and upwards!

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RyanB 11 February 21, 2016 at 11:20 am

A straight lay on betfair compared to laying sequentially one by one on Smarkets has advantages and disadvantages. Main thing to take into account is its a lot easier and less time consuming is if you’re busy, however you need to take into account 5%, but also your profit is your profit as a change in odds won’t affect you. Where as laying off one by one it could either go in your favour or against you, luckily this time it went in our favour!

Seem to be a lot of these Acca offers recently, so i’m sure you’ll get another go soon!

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