Bet365 – £125 Grand National Refund E/w Bets!
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Hi All,
The Bet365 offer has landed! Simply you cannot afford to miss this offer!
In preparation, knowing this was likely to drop, I’ve built us an “extra place” calculator that will do all the crazy maths for you to save you having to do it!
It can be found here: https://www.antodev.com/extraplace
Lets hit 5th place again guys!
Cheers
Anto+0April 7, 2016 at 7:17 am
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I understand why we only need to cover the highest liability on the win market, but do we only need to cover the highest on the each way as potentially with 3 horses you could have 2nd, 3rd and 4th?
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Think I’m just going to use the same technique as Matt showed but instead of 125 E/W (250) I’ll go with 50 E/W (100) as long as the odds tighten up
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Jamie, I think you’re right. So you would have to cover all of the liability of the e/w bets. Still, at lower odds it should still be ok for those on a budget.
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Remember E/w place market has 4 different outcomes so if you are betting 5 horses you need to have the liability in the exchange for 4 x your place bet as there’s 4 different outcomes where your win market there’s only 1 outcome
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Exchange is loaded to the max thanks to today.
Just sticking with Matt’s method although I doubt the odds will be as tight as his fictional ones are.
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So confused about what to do with this offer, whether to go for the advice pretty much to a T with Matts’ blog or to go for smaller bets on more horses
Think after being gubbed by a couple of bookies this week I’m a bit paranoid about placing the whole £250 on one horse in case it arises suspicion :-/
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is this looking right? https://tinypic.com/r/slmrgk/9
back odds currently 10.0
lay odds currently 11.0
place odds currently 5.8so really just waiting for the place odds to tighten, recalculate, then bombs away?
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Pretty sure the E/W terms are 1/4 not 1/5. Someone else can correct me if wrong though
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Yeah 1/4 and I’d say your using Betfair so commission 5%
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Where might I find this calculator by the way mate I’ve looked around can’t seem to find it (sorry if I’m being stupid)
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cheers for that! roll on tomorrow
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First post in the thread….
+0Aye, would similarly be interested if anyone has any insight from last year in terms of realistic place lay odds. Anyone have spreadsheets going back that far?
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Even if the odds don’t tighten obviously its still free money so don’t not do the offer just because you are hoping for £80+ as per Matts blog.
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