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High qualifiing odds

  • So i have been told a lot to make low qualifying bets. But punching the numbers into the calculator you seems to have less losses at higher odds. especially when attempting the £200 bet365 offer.
    Pretend money is no object and please elaborate i dont want to make the wrong bet. im thinking around 4-5 for my qualifying bet and then the stake returned free bet is essentially a qualifying bet so the numbers still work out better the higher odds you can afford.

    +0
    Tomfromdablock
    0
    September 21, 2016 at 12:13 am

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    Tony 12 September 21, 2016 at 12:57 pm

    Qualifying loss is determined by the gap between back and lay odds and what proportion of the odds that gap represents, more than whether they are low or high odds. For example, assuming a £25 back stake and using Smarkets to lay:

    1.6/1.7 (gap of 0.1 = 6.1% of midpoint between back/lay odds) gives a £1.67 QL
    3.5/3.7 (gap of 0.2 = 5.5%) gives a £1.70 QL
    15.0/15.5 (gap of 0.5 = 3.3%) gives a £1.26 QL

    So, given the above options in a notional 3 horse race that you needed to back a qualifier on, you would indeed be best served to go for the high odds outsider in terms of minimising QL.

    However, that requires you to have an exchange float of £351.19 which not everyone has. Furthermore, if you were targeting runner to come 2nd in our fictional race, you would probable conceded that it is worth paying the additional 44p to back and lay the 2nd fav in terms of expected outcomes.

    Most of the guides / advice advocate using low odds outcomes for qualifying bets as it doesn’t require much of an exchange float. These guides and walkthroughs all want to make it seems as simple (and cheap!) as possible to those starting out.

    HTH

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    Tomfromdablock 0 September 23, 2016 at 1:02 pm

    Thanks man that was a really helpful answer. So you would be floating large amounts of money just to save a few pennies.

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