Sky MB 2nd 2:00 Southwell

  • Well, only 4 runners….odds currently 2, 2.63, 7, 23…so very surprised at this as what a chance to get a free bet!

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    beesty2016 3

    Cheers Ryan beaten me to it again! Lots of ways to do this one.

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    RyanB 11

    I’m lucky enough to have two accounts so just covering the top 2 so fingers crossed one of them will come 2nd.

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    beesty2016 3

    They should do I would have a little punt on the 13/8 shot. 25 quid returns around 40 profit. 2nd would be a fiver down after token 3rd or 4th 25 down. May lay back half the stake but will see tomorrow.

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    Kbod1983 2

    Just wait to lace any bets though since a non runner will make the offer void

    Good luck

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    b_smizzle 1

    whats the best way to play this?

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    RyanB 11

    b_smizzle…you would need to clarify what you think the meaning of best is. There is multiple ways to do this….
    1) back and lay a horse for a minimal loss and hope it comes 2nd (good chance if you pick one of the two favs)
    2)Underlay – ie bet on the fav and should it win you will profit from having a lower liability on the exchange or should it come 2nd you get your free bet. Any other position you will actually lose more.

    I would say they’re the best methods probably tons more out there though.

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    b_smizzle 1

    Yeah i was thinking of underlay vs equal lay/back, gonna see how I feel closer to the race

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    Tony S 6

    In a very average 4 horse race I’ll be punting the 22/1 shot!

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    RyanB 11

    For real Tony ahaha? Id assume with those odds it wont even finish 2nd aka £25 down the drain

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    Tony S 6

    lol… It’ll be a separate punt from the promotion and not £25!!… Probably get very good odds on the exchange

    The NR was the odds on favourite in this race… I’ve seen too many very short favourites done by 40/1 shots to let this one slip under the radar ??

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    Ice Magic 3

    Hmmmmm

    Got a say I am tempted to take a risk here. £25 on the top two, one at Sky, one at other bookie.
    Favourite with the other bookie.

    If fav wins you get almost all your money back plus a good shot at the free bet
    If the 2nd fav wins you get no free bet but you’ve made £12.50 profit
    If an outsider wins you still have a good shot at the free bet but will be down

    Hmmm maybe it’s not such a good idea.

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    STC 4

    Not sure if I would prepared to risk that much Ice Magic especially on amateur jockeys.

    I do however think I could be punting it as I doubt we will get good qualifying losses. Likelihood is that they will at least finish top 2 so you get to double up (or more) for a probably risk of £5 which makes it worthwhile.

    Will review tomorrow though. Thanks for the share Ryan, helpful as usual!

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    RyanB 11

    I disagree I think qualifying losses will be alright…tend to be fine with short odd favs

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    STC 4

    I know where your coming from so will check tomorrow. I just see it as a good punt opportunity and will be more profitable, if you do enough like this, to maximise profits.

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    Stu Blue 0

    Managed a loss of £1.50, get me the free £5 next week if nothing else.

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