Change Chris methods

  • Hi guys,

    I saw all the offers writed by Chris in profit log.

    I’m using a different method to just create a better evaluation of the offer…

    For Example: In this offer:
    188BET Offer – Liverpool v Arsenal – Refund if Coutinho Scores.

    Chris create the qualification bet, equalizing the offer, so he back Arsenal for 3,50 and lay for 3,7 loosing however goes the match just 1.7 £…

    So he have this situation:
    Arsenal Win: -1.70
    Arsenal Not Win & Not Coutinho: -1.70
    Arsenal Not Win & Coutinho : 22.05

    He says this:
    Risking £1.70 to make a profit of £22.05, gives us effective odds of 13.97, so given that the odds of Coutinho scoring are only 3.00

    But it’s not really true… because Coutinho score AND Arsenal not win isn’t 3.00, its’ maybe something like at least 8-9…

    So to avoid this error, my idea is to lay in another way… and have the arsenal side to profit/loss : 0,00 £….

    So the situation will be this:
    Arsenal win 0
    Not Arsenal & Coutinho Goal : 22.05
    Not Arsenal & Coutinho Not Goal: -4 (it’s an example, can’t do the maths now)

    So the Coutinho goal will be calculate more accurate…

    What do you think about?

    Ciao
    Pavel4

    Sorry for my bad english

  • New to matched betting?

    My Matched Betting Academy is the best place to get started. Learning the fundamentals takes 10-15 minutes and you’ll make £15 in the process.

    Learning the fundamentals takes 10-15 minutes and you’ll make £15 in the process.

    Matt
    Keymaster
    1491

    The post does mention the fact that even though the odds of Coutinho scoring are only 3.00, we still need Arsenal not to win.

    If Coutinho had scored anytime for Liverpool, Arsenal would have needed to score two goals without reply to win the game. Therefore, I don’t believe the odds on Coutinho scoring and Arsenal not winning are anywhere near as much as 8.00 or 9.00, probably around the 5.00 mark.

    +0
    Matt
    Keymaster
    1491

    Anyway… Who is Chris?

    +0
    sleepless 8

    He’s your ghost writer isn’t he Matt?.

    +0
    Pavel4 0

    Sorry, i want to say “Matt” … ahhahah what a blunder…

    Yes, to get the offer, we still need Arsenal not to win… but equalizing on Arsenal, if Arsenal win, we are without lose (and without profit)…

    Maybe, in a long run, it is almost the same thing, but in the single shot, i think that in this way we will have more accurate odds…

    It’s just a discussion, i’m not saying that Matt is in error, or that this method is better….

    Ciao
    Pavel…

    +0
Viewing 4 replies - 1 through 4 (of 4 total)

You must be logged in to reply to this topic.