Bad EW Races NO CHAT
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Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?
+0April 2, 2017 at 5:21 pm
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Nice one Scabbadab, I’ve defo noticed that with the hills odds. I try and combine them with other bookies with extra places on the same race and have a few on with the win layed. Obvs a risk if none place, which has happened, but generally serves me well.
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Not really a risk in the long run. If there is value(and those 2/3 extra places with hills certainly are! Then the profs will roll in eventually as long as ql isn’t terrible-which it shouldn’t be if you wait till nearer the off)
Good to hear your doing well on them/bad ews, I’d almost given up on my once very profitable hills account once I lost all bonuses/bog/boosts but then saw I could/can still get restricted but decent amounts ews on.. Up to about €100, ew depending on the odds.. So have been cashing in every Saturday.+0
Very little today as you said. The 1st race at Market rás might have a little bad ew value. But its 8 runners. So I will see if it holds at 8 and throws a bit of value 10-15 mins before off.. Still obvs a risky stratergy
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More risky on the flat than jumps due to possible horses not going in the stalls etc so Im normally happy to chance the 8r jumps ews near the off time
+0Had a quick look at the 1st at Rasen, nothing really standing out so will probably leave it. Will have a look close to the off though.
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Waited till now and decided to smash on Emma lamb at 8/1 & pure affection at 66/1. Bith currently ew arbs, not big ones but good enough. Hopefully no shenanigans before the off
Will judge how to trade close to off+0
Did em jus before show prices. Now 11/2 and 33s
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Ended up laying the Emma at 7.0 pure affition nothing special at around 55.0/60.0
Some underlying done on the wins, decent profit to be had if either/they place. Some loss if it goes Pete tong. But good value on the €300 laid out+0
Prob a little over 20% in the long run
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Prof on the place Emma 1.65 just about off setting the underlay losses on the wins for a whopping+€20!
+0Stayed out of it in the end, nice one on squeezing a bit out mate
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yeah cheers. at least ems placed. obv hoping the outsider palced/won! or emms won it
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Theres been some good ep races with paddys/boyles (to go along with a few decent mb2/234 fav races) with small some fields OF 10/11r. Got some early doors low qls- and so far have kopped the EP on JIMMYRABBITE in the 315.
Just missed out in the 305 with wenselous at 18s 3rd (some prof there though as odds came in a lot)
One more to go in the not so good 430- swings an roundabouts though as main edoors shot there song of the sky 8s has drifted a bit+0
OK value shots here in the 430. SOTS 8s & IKWIA 7s
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Sots layed off 7.6 very decent. The other smaller about 8.8
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