Bad EW Races NO CHAT
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Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?
+0April 2, 2017 at 5:21 pm
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New to matched betting?
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I’m a newbie but the tips and advice in this thread are excellent, thanks to all who contribute! would be up for joining scabba’s nap army when it’s up and running in august.
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Great to hear BD👍
The 250 chepers has opened up- just scalped Mr shady at 25/1- may be cut now..shud be value in there+0
Will the real Fat Scabba please tstand up..please stand up? Mr Shady scalps a 3rd place tidy arb there👍
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Some boderline cut off handicaps/5 places coming up 340/400/425
Have chanced 1/2 in the 340- waiting for a value price on the Haydock 425- both on 16rs+0
605 leicster shud be v decent bad eway👍
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The magic man rocks in again 2 66/1 shots in the frame leicster 605😀 one big arb one drifter – then 2 nrs (some rule 4s) didnt lay my own €30 each way on Vallette sunrise 66/1 sp 50s in all the mayhhem (3rd/8)👍
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2 loose horses cut it down to 8r from 10. €50 on ring of gold 66/1- massive place arb..even with the deductions
+0great shout on ring of gold scabba!!
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Cheers Match- hope u got on board. Was a big arb- even after all the loose horse/rule 4 shinanagens..The Ring of Gold one made more value sense then my other nap because it was on debut as opposed to proven struggler at big prices..gor a bit greedy in again Valetfa Sunset- then got lucky as i wasnt gonna lay the place after it went down to 8r before off..
I tend to leave the small liquid arbs that dont make sense more Iften these days..like Sunset..but money trickling in for a newcomer in a tosh quality good sach way race..thats a different story..can out lovley juvley thete😀👍+0
That last text was sent on a bumpy bus ride home..and prob would need som1 with Enigma code Type skillsets to break it down into a readable text🙃
+0Yeah great call on ring and sunset scabba!
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Cheers BD..Rolled in nicely those two..plus MR shady on this thread…
My previous two big breakdowns of my naps had ROI running at over +20% on around 250 naps..those two will have Julys boosting well over that mark👍
As ive become even more knowledgable since begining the naps thread knowing how to predict Markets more and what to avoid more often- I believe current and future ROI will start to head north of 25%+ ROI👍BTW BD for sure your name will be lodged in as one of the 1st on the list for a subscribtion when ever the Full on exclusive service finally begins..truth is im so involved again now with daily sharbing that im neglecting fine tuning (with some help from The Dapper Napper) the actual logistics of setting it all up properly..the profits from dail sharbing are too good atm to slow down..my hope is that when I go back to South America with the misses latet this year I will have it all running smothly giving me something to do and a way of earning a crust/few beers whilst im out of UK for at least 3 months..stay tuned pn that one..for now just crack on with them on the freemans all👍
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Card marking Saturdays Potential value races now
230 York- hcap- 22r- Hills 6 places 1:5 and Bet 365 5 places 1/4 should prove useful- a few nrs would certainly juice it up value wise and msybe bring other firms more into the mix- 6/10 with Hills/365 atm
410 york- hcap- 19r- all firms 1:5 5 places or 1:4 4 places. Pretty high price fav- not exiting for me atm 2.5/10
215 Newbury- 8 r- Short price fav at around 1.8 but a lot of mid range prices mean its no monster value bad each way and on the 8r cut off. 1.5/10 as it stands. 4/10 if all 8 go
725 Haydock-12r 4 place 1:5 odds- round about 2.1 fav means some value potentialy with decent odds dynamics on others.. But at 12 atm unlikely to make it at 12r come 725! 1/10 atm- 4/10 if it does
435 Bath- 8 r- simalar dynamics to 215 at newbury and same score for me 1.5/10- 3.5/10 if it makes at 8r come 425
315 Tramore 16r hcap- some firms going 1:4 4 places.
With a short price 7/4 could be great value. But again a race already on the cut off. Highly unlikely to off with required 16r🙏🏻 1:10- 4/10 if 16 go to post415 Curragh 9 r- 1.95 fav with decent odds dynamics on others guve this race best chance of the day of some 3 places bad each way value. 3.5/10 as it stands 5/10 if 8+ survive come race time.
615 Curragh- 17r hancap- firms going eith 1/5 5 or 1/4 4- decent value good quality handicap in what should be a solid liquidity meeting. 3/10 as it stands- 5/10 if 16 + make it.
Could be some other offers/bits n bobs ive missed🤞🏻
All in all not exactly a bumper day of value..a craftsmans/persistent chisiling day on the cards AIS *AIS- as it stands- hope to bring that into the arb vocab as I write it a lot😀👍
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Good early report in…Only race that has been affected on my race value hit list is the 435 Bath- down to 7 and scrubbed off the list- dont think there is a single NR declared so far in any of the other to do races👍
Also good news in for any early bird followers who caught my evening nap- Romantic Proposal at 11-1 with PP 5 places 715- looking a very profitable proposal arm as its into to about 8.5 on the win👍 Shout out to my buddy The Dapper Napper who marked the cards on that one- more to come soon from TDN the man in the know on Irish Racing (all naps will still be in eway value races👍) just nice to have extra info on the low liquid daily irish value races😀
+0Great review of the day’s racing as always Scab, thanks
The 18:15 Curragh has some good value. Cityman is 34 / 34 at Bet365 which is a 9.25 / 6.8 arb on the place (1/4 top 4)
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