Euro Goalscorer offers – 2 observations

  • Hi all,

    Just pondering how best to play out the plethora of top scorer offers for the Euros, I had a look at the stats for previous tournaments – interesting reading. I was surprised to see that in 2012, no less than 6 players tied on 3 goals each. In 2008, David Villa snuck out into 1st with 4 goals, but a further 5 players then finished behind him again on 3 goals each.

    So – first observation is that taking these offers up is not a no-brainer. If you’re incurring an £8 QL for example, your scorer is probably going to have to finish top just to break even.

    Second – Clearly a tied top scorer situation is more than possible. From what I’ve seen most bookmakers/exchanges are applying dead heat rules, which from my understanding would mean that it shouldn’t really matter for us if it turns out like this. Do people agree, or is this a danger?

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    Readthenumbers 0

    update: I have just read on another thread about there being more teams this time around which I hadn’t realised , so 1 more game each.

    This obviously helps a little, but DH still very possible and 4 or 5 goals by the top scorer at best is still all you can reasonably expect.

    +0
    Matt
    Keymaster
    1491

    Another thing to consider is that because the competition has been expanded from 16 to 24 teams, not only does it mean there is an extra round of games, but also the calibre of opposition in the group stages for the big nations is a fair bit weaker. I would expect the top goalscorer to be scoring 5 or 6 goals now, much like the World Cups.

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    MbPunter 17

    Shouldn’t be taking qualifying losses of £8.

    Dead heat won’t really make any difference, both the exchange and bookies will settle the same. Would only be a potential issue if one settled as Golden boot winner.

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