Free bet if one leg lets you down
Does anyone have a method of making consistent returns with the many offers of money back or a free bet if one leg of a 4 / 5 / 6 leg accumulator lets you down?+00December 8, 2015 at 5:50 pm
78naD 2 December 8, 2015 at 5:58 pm
A few say they know how to do it on here mate but no one has yet to actually give a proper example or walk us through it. Really hope someone does because these offers are run by so many different bookies and you can even do them in the shops too+0Dockie 2 December 8, 2015 at 6:53 pm
Too right Dan. Waiting patiently for someone to share the knowledge. Seems like a great way for many of us on here to keep our various accounts for longer, by appearing to be mugs.+078naD 2 December 8, 2015 at 7:03 pm
Yeah that’s another great thing about laying these accas, you really come across as an average punter when doing them.
Anyone care to help a few brothers out here?+0Drogs 0 December 8, 2015 at 9:13 pm
I tried to work out a method from what others have said, but when I used a real example I would have made a loss if my acca went on to win. It was almost there though so I am not sure if you need to find extremely good odds, or I have got something wrong. I would probably just confuse people more by trying to explain the method in my head, as I’m not sure if it works. I am also waiting for more knowledge on how to do it properly!+078naD 2 December 8, 2015 at 9:17 pm
If you have the time please do explain it gkitching, we might be able to work it out together.
Nobody has explained anything so far so we’re all in the dark here. The selections should be odds on and shorts odds I think someone said?
We could use the weekends UK and top Euro league fixtures to work something out.+0Andy 1 December 8, 2015 at 11:56 pm
If i am going to attempt to explain the method to this how do you want to go about it, it is fairly simple once you know what to do but will be hard to explain.+0Mark 1 December 9, 2015 at 2:25 am
I made a spreadsheet at the weekend to work this out, it’s fairly complex and hurt my brain.
The way I’ve worked it out you need to pick your selections so that each previous match is over before the next begins.
Your first match you lay as normal taking the stake for the acca as your stake in the lay calculator. If it loses you’ve made your money back on the lay and stop laying, hope that the rest win. If it wins on to bet 2.
Bet 2 is your original stake multiplied by the odds of your first selection. So if your first match was at odds of 1.5 and your stake £10 your new stake is £15.
Lay this bet with 15 as your stake if it loses stop laying and hope the rest win. If it wins multiply 15 by the odds of that match and so on and so forth.
You can under or overlay to your preference. I’m sure I’ve lost a few with this simple exploration but it’s hard to get across in just text.
This is how I understand it anyway I may be wrong.
For the more adventurous among us I have dabbled with acca bonuses too. I. E. Boylesports have a 200% acca bonus on 15 selections. I managed 1 successful experiment before being faced with the bet restricted screen.
I’m fairly certain they pegged me as a matched bettor by my 15 team acca with each leg beginning after the last. Needless to say my valance has been withdrawn! So watch out if you’re planning on doing this as a regular thing!+0Andy 1 December 9, 2015 at 2:38 am
Mark – My method does not involve hoping you hit the refund, it profits no matter the outcome.+078naD 2 December 9, 2015 at 8:23 am
@Andy, if you’re doing one of these yourself this weekend could you post it up here for us mate?
I get the keep the odds low and close, choose games that start at different times to keep it rolling along but I can’t figure out your staking system so that you ensure a profit without having to actually hit the bonus…?+0Mark 1 December 10, 2015 at 2:49 am
Would be curious to know Andys method, my plan works for a profit no matter what on the % bonus accas but not the refund if one let’s you down ones!+0Stims 0 December 10, 2015 at 7:56 am
I’ll happily make a detailed thread/ post on this explaining the basic principles. However as Andy said it may be difficult to explain and with a christmas party tonight and tomorrow night i may not get chance until next week.+0Nellie1 0 December 10, 2015 at 10:45 am
Yes, this probably requires some IQ to work out! My guess is that Mark overlays a little every bet knowing that he will get the money back if the acca goes all the way. You anticipate the refund and make a calculation that allows you to profit if more than one leg on the acca lets you down (since you overlay) OR if the acca goes all the way and you can treat the last game as a freebet (although you will not profit as much since you have overlayed the other games). This is how I would do it anyway but I haven’t gotten far enough to come up with a way of calculating the stakes.
I look forward to hearing what Mark and Stims has to say about this. I think this is all very interesting and challenging! 🙂+078naD 2 December 10, 2015 at 11:16 am
I think you might have nailed it there Nellie, overlaying to include the bonus % top-up if it wins, or the free bet if one lets it down.
Let’s be honest, even acca’s an 6 heavy faves lose most of the time so it’s probably a good way to do it.+0
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