Will Hill acca insurance lay example

• I am going to go through laying a william hill acca to make it near risk free if more than 1 keg loses, and profit if one or zero loses.

  Matches:

  1. Ath Bilbao v Villarreal – 1.91 – 1.94
  2. Juventus v Verona – 1.17 – 1.21
  3. Barcelona v Espanyol – 1.1 – 1.13
  4. Eibar v Las Palmas – 1.95 – 1.97
  5. Paris St-G v Bastia – 1.1 – 1.12
  6. Real Madrid v Deportivo – 1.17 – 1.18

  Using the matched calculator to work out qualifying loss for each one with 0% commission.

  0.16 + 0.33 + 0.27 + 0.1 + 0.18 + 0.09 = 1.13
  10 – 1.13 = 8.87

  So first lay stake is £8.87.

  If leg 1 wins you would lose £8.34. To get the next lay stake add what you would have won(if leg lost) to the loss then times by 1.02.
  Would have won 8.87*0.98 = 8.69
  8.69+8.34 = 17.03
  17.03*1.02 = 17.37

  Second lay stake is £ 17.37.

  If they keep winning continue with this method until the last leg, when you underlay.

  If a leg loses you lay the loss so far times by 1.02.

  So if 1st leg lost the loss would have been 10 – 8.69 = -£1.31. (acca stake – lay win)
  So stake 1.31*1.02 = £1.34 on leg 2.
  If leg 2 loses you break even.
  If leg 2 wins you do the same as when laying acca, add loss from that leg to what you were trying to win then times by 1.02.(1.31+0.28).

  So if leg 2 wins next stake is £1.63. Keep doing this method until a second loss then stop.

  You can guarantee a profit by underlaying/overlaying, but this is my method for laying accas.
  With the william hill bonus you would want do overlay each leg.

  With this method the only risks are some odds changing so by the end if they keep winning it may not profit but with good close back/lay odds it should work out(underlaying some of the middle legs can eliminate this risk). Also the 1st lay can be too low sometimes so depending on the acca increasing the 1st lay stake can be good.

  +0

  

  Andy

  3

  January 6, 2016 at 1:47 am