It’s Deontay Wilder v Tyson Fury on Sunday morning and it’s time for a BetVision Money Back Special! Place a £5.00+ single bet on the Round Betting market for Wilder v Fury and if the fight does not go the distance, BetVision will refund losing stakes as a free bet, up to a maximum of £20.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £10.85 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Minimum stake of £5.00.
- Applies to all selections in the Round Betting market.
- Qualifying bets must be placed before the fight gets underway at around 05:00 on Sunday 23rd February 2020.
- If our bet loses and the fight does not go the distance, BetVision will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £20.00.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
It’s entirely up to you which selection you go for. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Tyson Fury Decision Or Tech Decision.
At the time of writing, laying our bet with Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.
If you’re not yet signed up, Smarkets are currently offering a £10.00 welcome bonus for new customers.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £15.16…
Place £20.00 on ‘Tyson Fury Decision Or Tech Decision’ @ 2.60 = Potential profit of £32.00
Lay £15.16 on ‘Fury Points’ @ 3.45 = Potential liability of £37.14
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Extracted | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fury wins on points | +£32.00 | -£37.14 | £5.14 loss | |
| Fight does not go the distance | -£20.00 | +£14.85 | +£16.00 | £10.85 profit |
| Wilder wins on points or draw | -£20.00 | +£14.85 | £5.15 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £10.85 if the fight does not go the distance and we stand to lose a maximum of £5.15 on any other outcome. Risking £5.15 to make a profit of £10.85 gives us effective odds of 3.11. So, given that the odds are 1.667 (2/3) for the fight not to go the distance, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If you’re not comfortable with such a large qualifying loss, feel free to leave this one and move onto another offer.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within 48 hours of our qualifying bet being settled. Free bets will be valid for 5 days and free bet stakes are not included in any returns.
* Tyson Fury won the fight by technical knockout in Round 7, resulting in a profit of £10.85 on this BetVision offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.