It’s Week 14 of the Premier League Darts 2018 tonight and the bookies are getting in on the action! There are some great offers available each week, so provided we minimise our qualifying losses, we stand a great chance of making some big profits and here’s how…
Available Offers:
| Bookie | Offer |
|---|---|
| Betway | Bets settled as a winner (up to £25.00) if your selection loses 7-5 |
| BoyleSports | Double winnings (max. stake £20.00) if your selection wins with a 100+ checkout |
| Paddy Power | Money back (up to £10.00) on Correct Score and #WhatOddsPaddy bets if the match ends in a draw |
Qualifying Bets:
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
The strategy is the same for all three offers. We just need to select players with tight back and lay odds in order to minimise our qualifying losses and hope we hit the money back/double winnings triggers.
Here are the eligible matches for Week 14 (Thursday 10th May 2018)…
| Time | Match |
|---|---|
| 19:15 | Michael Smith v Raymond van Barneveld |
| 19:55 | Simon Whitlock v Rob Cross |
| 20:30 | Peter Wright v Daryl Gurney |
| 21:20 | Michael van Gerwen v Gary Anderson |
The following example is for the BoyleSports offer. Having looked at the odds available for Michael Smith v Raymond van Barneveld, we could place a qualifying bet on Raymond van Barneveld.
I like to place my exchange lay bets with Betfair as they have great liquidity and the site is really easy to use.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £20.72…
Place £20.00 on Raymond van Barneveld @ 2.60 = Potential profit of £32.00
Lay £20.72 on Raymond van Barneveld @ 2.56 = Potential liability of £32.32
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| van Barneveld wins without 100+ checkout | + £32.00 – £32.32 = £0.32 loss |
| van Barneveld wins with 100+ checkout | + £32.00 – £32.32 + £24.00 (extract 75% of £32.00 free bet) = £23.68 profit |
| van Barneveld doesn’t win | – £20.00 + £19.68 = £0.32 loss |
So, if Raymond van Barneveld loses 7-5, we’ll make a nice profit of £23.68. Any other outcome and we’ll have made a loss of £0.32. Risking £0.32 to make a profit of £23.68, gives us effective odds of 75.00, which I’m sure you’ll agree makes this a profitable offer in the long run.
I’ll update the following tables with some actual selections after the matches have been played…
Betway Offer
| Match | Selection | Stake | Back Odds | Lay Odds | Qualifying Loss | Potential Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wright v Gurney | Wright | £20.00 | 2.30 | 2.38 | £1.25 | £23.75 |
| van Gerwen v Anderson | van Gerwen | £40.00 | 1.571 | 1.58 | £0.99 | £21.85 |
BoyleSports Offer
| Match | Selection | Back Odds | Lay Odds | Qualifying Loss | Potential Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smith v van Barneveld | van Barneveld | 2.60 | 2.56 | £0.32 | £23.68 |
| Wright v Gurney | Gurney | 2.625 | 2.70 | £1.19 | £23.21 |
Paddy Power Offer
| Match | Selection | Back Odds | Lay Odds | Qualifying Loss | Potential Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | – | – | – | – | – |
* Michael van Gerwen lost 7-5 to Gary Anderson, resulting in an overall profit of £19.09 on these Premier League Darts offers. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £100,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.