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Albania v England Offer – Space Casino

It’s Albania v England in World Cup 2022 Qualifying on Sunday and you don’t want to miss this Space Casino money back offer. Simply place a £10.00+ bet on Albania v England and if our bet loses and England fail to score three goals, Space Casino will give us a £5.00 free bet. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £3.11 and here’s how…

Key terms

  • Applies to the 1X2 Full Time and Exact Score markets for Albania v England.
  • Applies to bets placed before 17:00 (kick-off) on Sunday 28th March 2021.
  • Minimum stake of £10.00.
  • If our bet loses and England fail to score three goals, Space Casino will give us a £5.00 free bet.

Qualifying bet

If you’d like more information about qualifying bets and how they work, please see my qualifying bets guide.

It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on, though it makes sense to select a bet that doesn’t see England winning the match.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on a Draw (X) in the 1X2 Full Time market at back odds of 5.75 (19/4). The lay odds are currently 6.20.

Either exchange works for this offer

Betfair and Smarkets are both great options for this offer. If you’ve not used one of them, now is a great time to give them a try.

  • 2% commission for all new signups
  • 0% commission for 60 days

We can calculate our lay stake using my Matched Betting Calculator

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.30…

Space Casino logo

Place £10.00 on a Draw (X) @ 5.75 = Potential profit of £47.50

Betfair logo

Lay £9.30 on a Draw @ 6.20 = Potential liability of £48.36

Outcomes

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeSpace CasinoBetfairFree BetProfit/Loss
Draw+ £47.50– £48.36£0.86 loss
Not a draw and England score 2 or less– £10.00+ £9.11+ £4.00£3.11 profit
Not a draw and England score 3 or more– £10.00+ £9.11£0.89 loss

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £3.11 if the match isn’t drawn and England fail to score three or more goals. We’ll lose a maximum of £0.89 on any other outcome. Risking £0.89 to make a profit of £3.11, gives us effective odds of 4.49. So, given that the odds are just 1.556 (5/9) for England to score under 2.5 goals, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, our £5.00 free bet will be credited by 16:00 on Monday 29th March 2021 and will be valid for 30 days. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.

If you’re unsure on how to convert your £5.00 free bet into £4.00 cash (80%), please see my free bets guide for a walkthrough of how it should be done.

* England won the match 2-0, resulting in a profit of £3.11 on this Space Casino offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £60,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.