Arsenal v Man City Offer – William Hill

It’s Arsenal v Man City tonight and you don’t want to miss this William Hill ‘Bet £10, Get £5’ offer! Place a bet of £10.00 or more on Arsenal v Man City and William Hill will give us a £5.00 free bet. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.38 and here’s how…

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

Qualifying bets must be placed at odds of 1.50 (1/2) or greater before the final whistle is blown (approximately 21:40 on Thursday 1st March 2018), to be eligible.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Man City in the 90 Minutes market.

I like to place my exchange lay bets with Betfair as they have great liquidity and the site is really easy to use. Also, if we opt in, they are charging just 2% commission on Premier League Match Odds bets in March 2018.

We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.83…

William Hill logo

Place £10.00 on Man City @ 1.75 = Potential profit of £7.50

Betfair logo

Lay £9.83 on Man City @ 1.80 = Potential liability of £7.86

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Man City win + £7.50 – £7.86 = £0.36 loss
Man City don’t win – £10.00 + £9.63 (£9.83 minus 2% commission) = £0.37 loss

So, regardless of the result of the match, we’ll lose a maximum of £0.37 in qualifying for our £5.00 free bet.

Free Bet:

Our £5.00 free bet will be credited by 09:00 on Friday 2nd March 2018 and will be valid for 4 days.

By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 75% out of the £5.00 free bet as cash, so £3.75. If we take into account our maximum qualifying loss of £0.37, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.38 on this William Hill offer!

* Man City won the match 3-0, resulting in a profit of £3.39 on this William Hill offer. *

Got a question?
Leave me a comment below…

I usually respond within 24 hours.

Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.