It’s Bayern Munich v Chelsea in the Champions League on Saturday night and you don’t want to miss this Paddy Power money back offer. Simply place a bet on any market and if Muller scores, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as cash, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £8.85 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Qualifying bets must be placed between 11:00 on Friday 7th August 2020 and 20:00 (kick-off) on Saturday 8th August 2020.
- This offer applies to all Bayern Munich v Chelsea markets.
- If our first bet loses and Muller scores, Paddy Power will refund our stake as cash, up to £10.00.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
We need to place our bet on something we don’t think will happen if Muller scores.
It makes sense to place our qualifying bet on Chelsea (11/2) in the Match Odds market as that will also qualify us for Paddy Power’s 2UP offer. If Chelsea go two goals up at any point in the match, Paddy Power will pay our bet out early as a winner, regardless of the final result. Early payout offers are well worth looking into if you haven’t already!
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Aim to lose no more than £1.15 on our qualifying bet
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Cashback | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea win | +£55.00 | -£56.15 | £1.15 loss | |
| Chelsea don’t win and Muller scores | -£10.00 | +£8.85 | +£10.00 | £8.85 profit |
| Chelsea don’t win and Muller doesn’t score | -£10.00 | +£8.85 | £1.15 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £8.85 if Chelsea don’t win and Muller scores for Bayern Munich and we stand to lose around £1.15 on any other outcome. Risking £1.15 to make a profit of £8.85, gives us effective odds of 8.70. So, given that Muller is odds of just 2.50 (6/4) to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, our cash bonus will be credited within 3 hours of the final whistle.
* Bayern Munich won the match 4-1 and Muller failed to score, resulting in a loss of £1.15 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.