It’s Wales v Belgium tonight and BetBright are getting in on the action! Simply place a bet on Wales v Belgium and if Belgium fail to win in 90 minutes, BetBright will refund losing Scorecast, Correct Score and Half-Time/Full-Time bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £6.52 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
Qualifying bets must be placed pre-match to be eligible.
We need to place our qualifying bet on a selection that sees Belgium winning the match in 90 minutes. This ensures that if Belgium fail to win in 90 minutes, we will automatically be eligible for a free bet refund as our qualifying bet will have lost.
It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on, but having looked at the odds available, I’ve opted to place my qualifying bet on Draw/Belgium in the Half-Time/Full-Time market.
I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission in comparison to the 5% charged by other betting exchanges.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £8.69…
Place £10.00 on Draw/Belgium @ 4.33 = Potential profit of £33.30
Lay £8.69 on Draw/Belgium @ 5.00 = Potential liability of £34.78
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
Draw/Belgium | + £33.30 – £34.78 = £1.48 loss |
Not Draw/Belgium and Belgium fail to win in 90 | – £10.00 + £8.52 + £8.00 (extract 80% from our £10.00 free bet) = £6.52 profit |
Not Draw/Belgium and Belgium win in 90 | – £10.00 + £8.52 = £1.48 loss |
So, as things stand, if Belgium fail to win in 90 minutes, we’ll have made a nice profit of £6.52. Any other outcome and we’ll have made a loss of £1.48. Risking £1.48 to make a profit of £6.52, gives us effective odds of 5.41, so given that the odds of Belgium failing to win in 90 minutes are 1.80, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If Belgium fail to win, free bet refunds will be credited by 11:00 on Saturday 2nd July 2016.
If you’re unsure how to extract 80% cash from a £10.00 free bet, please see my free bet strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.