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Betfair Exchange – Argentina v Australia Offer

It’s Argentina v Australia at World Cup 2022 on Saturday night, and Betfair are getting in on the action! Place an Exchange bet of up to £10.00 on ‘Argentina to lead at half time’, and if your bet loses, your stake will be refunded as a free bet. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives you a profit of £2.96 and here’s how…

Key terms

  • Place an Exchange bet of up to £10.00 on ‘Argentina to lead at half time‘ (v Australia).
  • Applies to bets placed between 11:00 on Friday 2nd December 2022, and 19:00 (kick-off) on Saturday 3rd December 2022.
  • Applies to your first bet placed on the selected market only.
  • Applies to back bets only; lay bets do not qualify.
  • Money back as a free bet if your bet loses.
  • Betfair Rewards ‘Basic’ customers are excluded from this promotion.
  • If eligible, your free bet will be credited within 24 hours.
  • The free bet will be valid on any football exchange market for 7 days.

Qualifying bet

If your qualifying bet loses, Betfair will refund your stake as a free bet, so you can treat this as a ‘Money Back if Bet Loses‘ offer.

You can work out your lay stake using the ‘Money Back if Bet Loses‘ setting on my Matched Betting Calculator. You can enter ‘£8.00‘ as your ‘Cashback’ figure as that is the amount you can expect to convert your £10.00 free bet into, should your bet lose.

Select bet type

Back Bet (Bookie)

Advanced
%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

£ 0.00
£ 5.07
£ 10.06
Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £ 5.07
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£ 6.56
£ 3.59
£ 0.00
= £ 2.97
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£ 10.00
£ 4.96
£ 8.00
= £ 2.96
Total profit: £ 2.96

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £ 0.00
Total exchange liability: £ 0.00

If back (bookie) bet wins: £ 6.56
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £ 2.00

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £ 9.23
Total exchange liability: £ 6.55

If back (bookie) bet wins: £ 0.01
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £ 7.04

As you can see, the calculator tells you that your lay stake should be £5.07.

Place £10.00 on ‘Argentina to lead at half time’ @ 1.69 = Potential profit of £6.56

Lay £5.07 on ‘Argentina’ (Half-time result) @ 1.71 = Potential liability of £3.59

Outcomes

Let’s look at your profit/loss for the possible outcomes.

OutcomeBetfairExchangeFree BetProfit/Loss
Argentina lead
at half-time
+ £6.56– £3.59£2.97 profit
Argentina don’t
lead at half-time
– £10.00+ £4.96+ £8.00£2.96 profit

So, no matter the outcome, you’ll make a minimum profit of £2.96 on this Betfair Exchange offer!

If you’re unsure how to convert your £10.00 free bet into £8.00 cash (80%), please see my ‘Free Bets Guide‘ for a walkthrough.

* Argentina led 1-0 at half-time, resulting in a £2.97 profit on this Betfair Exchange offer. *

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Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £100,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.