Betfair Sportsbook Offer – Champions League Round of 16

There’s a busy week of Champions League action ahead, and Betfair are offering to double our winnings on our Correct Score bets. Place a pre-match correct score bet on any Champions League match this week and if our bet wins, Betfair will double our profit if the match is a draw at half-time. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a low risk chance of making some big profits and here’s how…

Betfair Offer - Correct Score Double Winnings 08.03.16

Qualifying Bets:

This week’s eligible matches are those outline in the promotional banner above.

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

In order to be eligible for this offer, our £10.00 (max.) qualifying bets must be placed pre-match on the Correct Score market of the selected games. Only our first cash bet on the market will qualify. If the teams are drawing at half-time and our Correct Score bet goes on to win, Betfair will double our profit by paying the extra winnings as free bets. So, for example, if we place £10.00 on a winning Correct Score at odds of 6.00 (5/1), we would receive £60.00 in cash and £50.00 in free bets if the teams had been drawing at half-time.

We already know that by using straightforward matched betting, we can extract 80% cash from any free bet.

Having looked at the odds available for Real Madrid v Roma, I’ve opted to place my qualifying bet on 3-1 to Real Madrid.

I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission. It’s also a very bad idea to place back bets on the Betfair Sportsbook and then lay them off on the Betfair Exchange for obvious reasons.

We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.18…

betfair

Place £10.00 on 3-1 Real Madrid @ 11.00 = Potential profit of £100.00

smarkets white

Lay £9.18 on 3-1 Real Madrid @ 12.00 = Potential liability of £101.00

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

3-1 Real Madrid and not drawing at half-time + £100.00 – £101.00 = £1.00 loss
3-1 Real Madrid after drawing at half-time + £100.00 + £80.00 (extracted from £100.00 free bet) – £101.00 = £79.00 profit
Not 3-1 Real Madrid – £10.00 + £9.00 (£9.18 minus 2% commission) = £1.00 loss

So if Real Madrid win 3-1 having been level at half-time, we will make a rather nice profit of £79.00. Any other outcome and we’ll have lost £1.00. Risking £1.00 to win £79.00, gives us effective odds of 80.00, so given the fact that the odds of 3-1 to Real Madrid are only 11.00, this is a very profitable offer over time. Of course, the half-time score has to be a draw but with a final score of 3-1, there’s every chance the teams could be 1-1 at half-time if we see a tight first half.

This offer is available on all four specified matches. It’s entirely up to you which Correct Scores you go for, but here’s what I’ll be going for…

Selection Back Odds Lay Odds Qualifying Loss Potential Profit
Real Madrid 3-1 Roma 11.00 12.00 £1.00 £79.00
Wolfsburg 2-1 Gent 8.50 9.80 £1.48 £58.52
Zenit St Petersburg 1-0 Benfica 7.00 8.00 £1.40 £46.60
Chelsea 1-1 PSG 6.50 7.40 £1.37 £42.63

So as you can see, we’ll lose £5.25 if we don’t hit any winners, but with £226.75 in potential profit up for grabs, this offer is well worth a shot!

Free bets will be credited within 12 hours of each match ending and if you’re unsure how to extract 80% of any free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.