Betfred – Liverpool v Man City Offer

It’s Liverpool v Man City in the Premier League on Sunday and Betfred are getting in on the action! Place a £10.00+ pre-match bet on Liverpool v Man City and Betfred will give us £5.00 in free bets if Salah scores. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £3.65 and here’s how…

Key terms

  • Applies to single bets placed on Liverpool v Man City from 17:00 on Saturday 2nd October 2021 until kick-off (16:30) on Sunday 3rd October 2021.
  • Minimum stake of £10.00.
  • Minimum odds of 1.50 (1/2).
  • £5.00 in free bets if Mohamed Salah scores for Liverpool.

Qualifying bet

If you’d like more information about qualifying bets and how they work, please see my qualifying bets guide.

It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on.

At the time of writing, Man City are available in the Match Result market at back odds of 2.50 (6/4). The lay odds are currently 2.56.

Either exchange works for this offer

We can calculate our lay stakes using my Matched Betting Calculator

Select bet type

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.84…

Betfred logo

Place £10.00 on Man City @ 2.50 = Potential profit of £15.00

Betfair logo

Lay £9.84 on Man City @ 2.56 = Potential liability of £15.35

Outcomes

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeBetfredBetfairProfit/Loss
Man City win+ £15.00– £15.35£0.35 loss
Man City lose or draw– £10.00+ £9.64£0.36 loss

So, no matter the outcome, we’ll lose a maximum of £0.36 in qualifying for our potential free bets.

Free bet

We’ll receive £5.00 in free bets if Salah scores for Liverpool. Free bets will be credited by 12:00 on Monday 4th October 2021 and will be valid until 09:00 on Tuesday 5th October 2021.

Using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to convert our free bet into 80% cash, so £4.00. If we take into account our minimum qualifying loss of £0.35, this gives us a potential profit of £3.65 on this Betfred offer!

Risking £0.36 to make a potential profit of £3.65 gives us effective odds of 11.14. So, given that Salah is odds of just 2.25 (5/4) to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

* The match was drawn 2-2 and Mo Salah scored, resulting in a profit of £3.64 on this Betfred offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £60,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.