It’s Man City v Man Utd in the Premier League on Sunday and Betfred are getting in on the action! Place a £10.00+ pre-match bet on Man City v Man Utd and Betfred will give us £5.00 in free bets if a Portuguese player scores first. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £3.47 and here’s how…
Key terms
- Applies to single bets placed on Man City v Man Utd from 17:30 on Saturday 5th March 2022 until kick-off (16:30) on Sunday 6th March 2022.
- Minimum stake of £10.00.
- Minimum odds of 1.50 (1/2).
- £5.00 in free bets if a Portuguese player scores first.
Qualifying bet
If you’d like more information about qualifying bets and how they work, please see my qualifying bets guide.
It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on.
At the time of writing, Draw is available in the Match Result market at back odds of 5.00 (4/1). The lay odds are currently 5.20.
Either exchange works for this offer
Betfair and Smarkets are both great options for this offer. If you’ve not used one of them, now is a great time to give them a try.
- Money back as cash up to £20
- 0% commission for 60 days
We can calculate our lay stakes using my Matched Betting Calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.65…
Place £10.00 on ‘Draw’ (Match Result) @ 5.00 = Potential profit of £40.00
Lay £9.65 on ‘The Draw’ (Match Odds) @ 5.20 = Potential liability of £40.53
Outcomes
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Betfred | Betfair | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | + £40.00 | – £40.53 | £0.53 loss |
| Man City or Man Utd win | – £10.00 | + £9.45 | £0.55 loss |
So, no matter the outcome, we’ll lose a maximum of £0.55 in qualifying for our potential free bets.
Free bets
We’ll receive £5.00 in free bets if a Portuguese player scores first. Free bets will be credited by 12:00 on Monday 7th March 2022 and will be valid until 09:00 on Tuesday 8th March 2022.
Using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to convert our free bets into 80% cash, so £4.00. If we take into account our minimum qualifying loss of £0.53, this gives us a potential profit of £3.47 on this Betfred offer!
Risking £0.55 to make a potential profit of £3.47 gives us effective odds of 7.31, which I’m sure you’ll agree makes this a profitable offer in the long run.
* Kevin De Bruyne (Belgian) scored first in a 4-1 win for Man City, resulting in a £0.55 loss on this Betfred offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.