Aston Villa host Manchester United on Friday night and you won’t want to miss this BetVictor offer! If Manchester United fail to beat Aston Villa, BetVictor will refund all losing Correct Score, First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Half-Time/Full-Time, Scorecast & Spincast bets as a free bet up to £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £7.16 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walkthrough guide on how it should be done.
We need to place our qualifying bet on a correct score that is a Manchester United win. This ensures that if Manchester United fail to beat Aston Villa, we will automatically be eligible for a free bet refund as our qualifying bet will have lost. Having looked at the odds available, I’ve opted to place my qualifying bet on 3-0 Manchester United.
I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity in the run up to races, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission in comparison to the 5% charged by other betting exchanges. We can calculate our lay stakes using the matched betting calculator.
Place £10.00 on 3-0 Manchester United @ 14.00 = Potential profit of £130.00
Lay £9.35 on 3-0 Manchester United @ 15.00 = Potential liability of £130.84
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
3-0 Manchester United | £130.00 – £130.84 = £0.84 loss |
Not 3-0 Manchester United and Man Utd don’t win | -£10.00 + £9.16 + £8.00 (extract 80% from our £10.00 free bet) = £7.16 profit |
Not 3-0 Manchester United and Man Utd win | -£10.00 + £9.16 = £0.84 loss |
So if Manchester fail to beat Aston Villa, we will make a profit of £7.16. We stand to lose £0.84 on any other result. An £0.84 risk, to win £7.16, gives us effective odds of 9.52. The double chance odds of Aston Villa winning or the game being drawn are around 2.20, so this is a profitable offer the long run.
If you’re unsure how to extract 80% of our £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walkthrough guide on how it should be done.
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.