Birmingham v Middlesbrough Offer – SportPesa

It’s Birmingham v Middlesbrough on Friday night and you don’t want to miss this SportPesa ‘Bet £10, Get £5’ offer! Simply bet £10.00+ on any market and SportPesa will give us a free £5.00 football acca. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £38.06 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • We must bet £10.00+ on any Birmingham v Middlesbrough market.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed before 19:45 (kick-off) on Friday 4th October 2019.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed at odds of 1.50 (1/2) or greater.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Birmingham in the 1X2 Full Time market.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.50…

SportPesa logo

Place £10.00 on Birmingham @ 2.45 = Potential profit of £14.50

Smarkets logo

Lay £9.50 on Birmingham @ 2.60 = Potential liability of £15.20

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Profit/Loss
Birmingham win +£14.50 -£15.20 £0.70 loss
Birmingham don’t win -£10.00 +£9.31 £0.69 loss

So, regardless of the outcome, we’ll lose a maximum of £0.70 in qualifying for our £5.00 free football acca.

Free Acca:

Our free £5.00 football acca will be available by 11:00 on Saturday 5th October 2019 and can be used on a 4-fold accumulator the same day.

Our selections must be from the 3pm Premier League and Championship matches and our accumulator must have total odds of 4.00 (3/1) or greater. The free acca stake will not be included in any returns.

To keep things simple, we could just punt the bonus for a low-risk shot a big return.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our £5.00 free football acca on Liverpool, Sheffield Wed, Preston and Swansea all to win at odds of 8.75.

If all four teams win, we’ll win £38.75 from our acca bet. If we take into account our minimum qualifying loss of £0.69, this gives us a potential profit of £38.06 on this SportPesa offer!

* Birmingham won the match 2-1 and Swansea were the only acca team not to win their respective fixture, resulting in a loss of £0.70 on this SportPesa offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.