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Blackburn v Millwall Offer – 10Bet

It’s Blackburn v Millwall in the Championship on Saturday and you don’t want to miss this Double Winnings offer from 10Bet. Simply place a £5.00+ bet on Blackburn to beat Millwall and if they win to nil, 10Bet will double our winnings as a free bet, up to £25.00! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £16.93 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • We must bet £5.00+ on Blackburn in the 1X2 FT market.
  • Only our first qualifying bet will be eligible.
  • If Blackburn win to nil, 10Bet will double our winnings as a free bet, up to £25.00.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

In order to work out our back stake, we need to divide the maximum free bet of £25.00 by 1.50 (back odds minus 1.00). This gives us a back stake of £16.67. It’s best that we stick to round numbers when placing our qualifying bet, so we should stake £15.00 instead.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £14.20…

10Bet logo

Place £15.00 on Blackburn @ 2.50 = Potential profit of £22.50

Smarkets logo

Lay £14.20 on Blackburn @ 2.66 = Potential liability of £23.57

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Blackburn win but not to nil + £22.50 – £23.57 = £1.07 loss
Blackburn win to nil + £22.50 – £23.57 + £18.00 (80% extracted from £22.50 free bet) = £16.93 profit
Blackburn don’t win – £15.00 + £13.91 = £1.09 loss

So, if Blackburn win to nil, we’ll make a nice profit of £16.93. Any other outcome and we’ll lose a maximum of £1.09. Risking £1.09 to make a profit of £16.93, gives us effective odds of 16.53. So, given that Blackburn are odds of just 3.75 to win to nil, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

Free bets must be placed at odds between 1.80 (4/5) and 8.00 (7/1). Free bets will be valid for 7 days and free bet stakes are not included in any returns.

If you’re unsure how to extract 80% cash from any free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

*The match was drawn 0-0, resulting in a loss of £1.09 on this 10Bet offer. *

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Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £100,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.