Brazil v Belgium Offer – Paddy Power

It’s Brazil v Belgium on Friday night and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power. Simply place a bet on selected markets and if Neymar or Lukaku scores in 90 minutes, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £6.30 and here’s how…

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

Qualifying bets must be placed pre-match. The eligible markets are First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Correct Score and WhatOddsPaddy.

For our qualifying bet, we need to back and lay a selection of our choice. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on 1-0 Belgium (10/1) in the Correct Score market.

We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £6.30 if Belgium don’t win the match 1-0 and Neymar or Lukaku scores and we stand to lose around £1.70 on any other outcome. Risking £1.70 to make a profit of £6.30 gives us effective odds of 4.71. So, given that Neymar and Lukaku are odds of just 2.30 (13/10) and 2.80 (9/5) respectively to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, free bets will be credited within two hours of the match ending and will be valid for 7 days on football markets.

If you’re unsure how to extract 80% of a £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

* Belgium won the match 2-1 and Neymar and Lukaku both failed to score, resulting in a loss of £1.70 on this Paddy Power offer. *