It’s Brazil v Peru in the Copa America 2019 Final on Sunday night and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power. Simply place a bet on selected markets and if Firmino scores in 90 minutes, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £6.20 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Qualifying bets must be placed between 18:00 on Friday 5th July 2019 and 21:00 (kick-off) on Sunday 7th July 2019.
- The eligible markets are First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Correct Score and WhatOddsPaddy.
- If our first bet loses and Firmino scores in 90 minutes, Paddy Power will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £10.00.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Our best option is likely to be the Correct Score market. Ideally, we should select a scoreline that doesn’t see Brazil score, but it depends what odds are available.
Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on 2-0 Brazil (4/1).
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Aim to lose no more than £1.80 on our qualifying bet
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Extracted | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-0 Brazil | +£40.00 | -£41.80 | £1.80 loss | |
| Not 2-0 Brazil and Firmino scores | -£10.00 | +£8.20 | +£8.00 | £6.20 profit |
| Not 2-0 Brazil and Firmino doesn’t score | -£10.00 | +£8.20 | £1.80 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £6.20 if Brazil don’t win 2-0 and Firmino scores in 90 minutes and we stand to lose £1.80 on any other outcome. Risking £1.80 to make a profit of £6.20, gives us effective odds of 4.44. So, given that Firmino is odds of just 2.20 (6/5) to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within two hours of the match ending. Free bet stakes will not be included in any returns.
If you’re unsure how to extract £8.00 cash (80%) from the £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* Brazil won the match 3-1 and Firmino failed to score, resulting in a loss of £1.80 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.