Chelsea v Man City Offer – Bethard

It’s Chelsea v Man City at Stamford Bridge on Saturday and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Bethard! Simply place a Correct Score or Half Time/Full Time bet on Chelsea v Man City and if Man City win, Bethard will refund losing stakes as a bonus, up to a maximum of £20.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £13.18 and here’s how…

This offer can found behind number 08 of Bethard’s Ultimate Sports Quiz.

Today’s question is ‘Wladimir Klitschko is a former champion boxer from which country?

The correct answer is ‘Ukraine‘.

Key Terms:

  • We must place a Correct Score or Half-Time/Full Time bet on Chelsea v Man City.
  • Our qualifying bet must be placed before 17:30 (kick-off) on Saturday 8th December 2018.
  • The minimum stake is £5.00.
  • If Man City win, Bethard will refund losing bets as a bonus, up to £20.00.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Our best option is likely to be the Correct Score market. Ideally, we should select a scoreline that doesn’t see Man City win the match, but it depends on the odds that are available.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on 2-1 Man City.

At the time of writing, laying our bet with Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £17.54…

Bethard logo

Place £20.00 on 2-1 Man City @ 8.75 = Potential profit of £155.00

Smarkets logo

Lay £17.54 on 2-1 Man City @ 10.00 = Potential liability of £157.86

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Extracted Profit/Loss
2-1 Man City +£155.00 -£157.86 £2.86 loss
Not 2-1 Man City and Man City win -£20.00 +£17.18 +£16.00 £13.18 profit
Not 2-1 Man City and Man City don’t win -£20.00 +£17.18 £2.82 loss

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £13.18 if Man City win by any score other than 2-1 and we stand to lose a maximum of £2.86 on any other outcome. Risking £2.86 to make a profit of £13.18 gives us effective odds of 5.61. So, given that Man City are odds of just 2.00 (evens) to win the match, this a profitable offer in the long run, even though we need Man City to not win 2-1.

If eligible, our £10.00 bonus will be credited at 15:00 on Monday 10th December 2018. The bonus is wager free and winnings are paid out in cash, which means we can treat it as a standard free bet.

If you’re not sure how to extract £16.00 (80%) cash from the £20.00 free bet, please see my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

* Chelsea won the match 2-0, resulting in a loss of £2.82 on this Bethard offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.