England v Nigeria Offer – Betfred

It’s England v Nigeria tonight as World Cup 2018 preparations continue and you don’t want to miss this Betfred ‘Bet £10, Get £5’ offer! Place a single bet of at least £10.00 on any pre-match market for England v Nigeria and Betfred will give us a £5.00 free bet to be used in play on the same match. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.09 and here’s how…

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

Qualifying bets must be placed at odds of 1.50 (1/2) or greater between 09:00 and 17:00 on Saturday 2nd June 2018, to be eligible.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Yes in the Both Teams To Score market.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.28…

Betfred Logo

Place £10.00 on ‘Both Teams To Score – Yes’ @ 2.375 = Potential profit of £13.75

Smarkets logo

Lay £9.28 on ‘Both teams score – Yes’ @ 2.58 = Potential liability of £14.66

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Both teams score + £13.75 – £14.66 = £0.91 loss
Either team keeps a clean sheet – £10.00 + £9.09 (£9.28 minus 2% commission) = £0.91 loss

So, regardless of the result of the match, we’ll lose £0.91 in qualifying for our £5.00 free bet.

Free Bet:

Our £5.00 free bet will be credited by 17:30 on Saturday 2nd June 2018 to use on England v Nigeria (17:15) and will be valid until 09:00 on Sunday 3rd June 2018.

By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% out of the £5.00 free bet as cash, so £4.00. If we take into account our qualifying loss of £0.91, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.09 on this Betfred offer!

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.