It’s France v Belgium on Tuesday night and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power. Simply place a bet on selected markets and if Griezmann or Lukaku scores in 90 minutes, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £6.35 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
Qualifying bets must be placed pre-match. The eligible markets are First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Correct Score and WhatOddsPaddy.
For our qualifying bet, we need to back and lay a selection of our choice. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on 1-0 France (7/1) in the Correct Score market.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
1-0 France | + £70.00 – £71.65 = £1.65 loss |
Not 1-0 France and Griezmann or Lukaku scores | – £10.00 + £8.35 + £8.00 (extract 80% from our £10.00 free bet) = £6.35 profit |
Not 1-0 France and Griezmann or Lukaku doesn’t score | – £10.00 + £8.35 = £1.65 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £6.35 if France don’t win the match 1-0 and Griezmann or Lukaku scores and we stand to lose around £1.65 on any other outcome. Risking £1.65 to make a profit of £6.35 gives us effective odds of 4.85. So, given that Griezmann and Lukaku are both odds of just 3.00 (2/1) to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within two hours of the match ending and will be valid for 7 days on football markets.
If you’re unsure how to extract 80% of a £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* France won the match 1-0 and Griezmann and Lukaku both failed to score, resulting in a loss of £1.65 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.