It’s Juventus v Man Utd on Wednesday night and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power. Simply place a bet on selected markets and if Ronaldo scores anytime, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £6.40 and here’s how…
- Qualifying bets must be placed between 16:00 on Friday 2nd November 2018 and 20:00 (kick-off) on Wednesday 7th November 2018.
- The eligible markets are First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Correct Score and WhatOddsPaddy.
- If our first bet loses and Ronaldo scores, Paddy Power will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £10.00.
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Our best option is likely to be the Correct Score market. Ideally, we should select a scoreline that doesn’t see Juventus scoring, but it depends on the odds that are available.
At the time of writing, the lay odds aren’t quite tight enough, so I’ll use fictional odds for 1-0 Man Utd (15/1) in the following example and I’ll update the bottom of the post with an actual selection after the match.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
|1-0 Man Utd||+ £140.00 – £141.60 = £1.60 loss|
|Not 1-0 Man Utd and Ronaldo scores||- £10.00 + £8.40 + £8.00 (extract 80% from our £10.00 free bet) = £6.40 profit|
|Not 1-0 Man Utd and Ronaldo doesn't score||- £10.00 + £8.40 = £1.60 loss|
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £6.40 if Man Utd don’t win 1-0 and Ronaldo scores and we stand to lose around £1.60 on any other outcome. Risking £1.60 to make a profit of £6.40 gives us effective odds of 5.00. So, given that Ronaldo is odds of just 2.10 (11/10) to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within two hours of the match ending and will be valid for 7 days on football markets.
If you’re unsure how to extract 80% cash from a free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* ‘1-1 draw’ was available at back odds of 7.00 and lay odds of 8.60. Man Utd won the match 2-1 and Ronaldo scored, resulting in a profit of £5.99 on this Paddy Power offer. *
Click here to take advantage of this Paddy Power offer