LeoVegas Offer – Real Madrid v Barcelona

Real Madrid face Barcelona in El Clasico on Sunday and LeoVegas are getting in on the action! Simply bet £25.00 via mobile on Real Madrid v Barcelona and LeoVegas will give us a £5.00 free bet for every goal scored by Messi, Suarez, Benzema or Ronaldo! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £22.44 and here’s how…

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

Qualifying bets must be placed pre-match via mobile at odds of 1.50 (1/2) or greater, to be eligible.

It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, I’ve opted to place my qualifying bet on a draw in the Match market.

I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission in comparison to the 5% charged by other betting exchanges.

We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £23.92…

LeoVegas Logo

Place £25.00 on a draw @ 4.00 = Potential profit of £75.00

smarkets white

Lay £23.92 on a draw @ 4.20 = Potential liability of £76.54

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Draw + £75.00 – £76.54 = £1.54 loss
Not a draw – £25.00 + £23.44 (£23.92 minus 2% commission) = £1.56 loss

So, regardless of the result of the match, we’ll lose a maximum of £1.56 in qualifying for our potential free bets.

Free Bets:

For every goal that Messi, Suarez, Benzema or Ronaldo scores in the match, we’ll receive a £5.00 free bet within 24 hours, up to a maximum of £30.00. Free bet stakes are not included with any returns.

By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% of any free bets as cash.

Therefore, although unlikely, if the above players are able to score 6 goals in the game, we’ll receive £30.00 in free bets, from which we can extract £24.00 cash. If we take into account our maximum qualifying loss of £1.56, this gives us a potential profit of £22.44 on this LeoVegas offer!

* Lionel Messi scored twice in a 3-2 win for Barcelona, meaning I made a profit of £6.44 on this LeoVegas offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.