£6.10
Potential Profit
£-1.94
Actual Profit

Liverpool v Arsenal Offer – Paddy Power


Posted by Matt (administrator) Matt
Start Time: 24/08/2019 17:30

It’s Liverpool v Arsenal in Saturday’s late kick-off and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power. Simply place a bet on selected markets and if Salah scores anytime, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £6.10 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • Qualifying bets must be placed between 14:00 on Monday 19th August 2019 and 17:30 (kick-off) on Saturday 24th August 2019.
  • The eligible markets are First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Correct Score and WhatOddsPaddy.
  • If our first bet loses and Salah scores anytime, Paddy Power will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £10.00.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Our best option is likely to be the Correct Score market. Ideally, we should select a scoreline that doesn’t see Liverpool score, but it depends what odds are available.

At the time of writing, the lay odds aren’t quite tight enough, so I’ll use fictional lay odds for 3-1 Liverpool (17/2) in the following example and I’ll update the bottom of the post with an actual selection after the match.

We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.

Paddy Power logo

Aim to lose no more than £1.90 on our qualifying bet

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeBookieExchangeExtractedProfit/Loss
3-1 Liverpool+£85.00-£86.90£1.90 loss
Not 3-1 Liverpool and Salah scores-£10.00+£8.10+£8.00£6.10 profit
Not 3-1 Liverpool and Salah doesn't score-£10.00+£8.10£1.90 loss

So, we’ll make a nice profit of £6.10 if Liverpool don’t win 3-1 and Salah scores anytime and we stand to lose £1.90 on any other outcome. Risking £1.90 to make a profit of £6.10, gives us effective odds of 4.21. So, given that Salah is odds of just 1.833 (5/6) to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, free bets will be credited within two hours of the match ending. Free bet stakes will not be included in any returns.

If you’re unsure how to extract £8.00 cash (80%) from the £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

* ‘3-1 Liverpool’ was available at back odds of 9.50 and lay odds of 11.50. Salah scored, but Liverpool won the match 3-1, resulting in a loss of £1.94 on this Paddy Power offer. *

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