Liverpool v Man City Offer – Toals

It’s Liverpool v Man City in the 2019 FA Community Shield on Sunday and Toals are getting in on the action! Simply bet £20.00+ pre-match on Liverpool or Man City to win and Toals will give us a £2.00 free bet each time our selected team scores. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £5.70 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • The minimum stake to qualify is £20.00.
  • We must place our bet on Liverpool or Man City in the Win/Draw/Win market.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed before 15:00 (kick-off) on Sunday 4th August 2019.
  • We’ll receive a £2.00 free bet for every goal our selected team score in 90 minutes.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

It’s entirely up to you which team you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Man City.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £19.70…

Toals logo

Place £20.00 on Man City @ 1.95 = Potential profit of £19.00

Smarkets logo

Lay £19.70 on Man City @ 2.00 = Potential liability of £19.70

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Profit/Loss
Man City win +£19.00 -£19.70 £0.70 loss
Man City don’t win -£20.00 +£19.30 £0.70 loss

So, regardless of the outcome, we’ll lose £0.70 in qualifying for our potential free bets.

Free Bets:

We’ll receive a £2.00 free bet equal for every goal Man City score in 90 minutes. Free bets will be credited by 12:00 on Monday 5th August 2019 and will be valid for 7 days. Free bet stakes will not be included with any returns.

By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% cash from any free bet.

Therefore, if Man City score 4 goals in 90 minutes, we’ll receive £8.00 in free bets, from which we can extract £6.40 cash. If we take into account our qualifying loss of £0.70, this gives us a potential profit of £5.70 on this Toals offer!

* The match was drawn 1-1, resulting in a profit of £0.90 on this Toals offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.