It’s Liverpool v Roma in the Champions League tonight and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power. Simply place a bet on selected markets and if Mo Salah scores anytime, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £5.90 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
The eligible markets are First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Correct Score and WhatOddsPaddy.
For our qualifying bet, we need to back and lay a selection of our choice. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on a 1-1 draw (8/1) in the Correct Score market.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
1-1 draw | + £80.00 – £81.60 = £1.60 loss |
Not a 1-1 draw and Salah scores | – £10.00 + £8.40 + £7.50 (extract 75% from our £10.00 free bet) = £5.90 profit |
Not a 1-1 draw and Salah doesn’t score | – £10.00 + £8.40 = £1.60 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £5.90 if the match isn’t drawn 1-1 and Mo Salah scores and we stand to lose £1.60 on any other outcome. Risking £1.60 to make a profit of £5.90 gives us effective odds of 4.69. So, given that Mo Salah is odds of just 1.615 (8/13) to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within 2 hours of the match ending and will be valid for 7 days on football markets.
If you’re unsure how to extract 75% cash from a £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* Liverpool won the match 5-2 and Mo Salah scored twice, resulting in a profit of £5.90 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.