It’s Liverpool v Stoke in today’s early kick-off and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Sun Bets. Simply place a bet on the Correct Score market and if Liverpool win the match, Sun Bets will refund losing bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £20.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £9.66 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
Qualifying bets must be placed pre-match on the Correct Score market, to be eligible.
Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on 3-1 Liverpool.
I like to place my exchange lay bets with Betfair as they have great liquidity and the site is really easy to use.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £15.44…
Place £20.00 on 3-1 Liverpool @ 10.00 = Potential profit of £180.00
Lay £15.44 on 3-1 Liverpool @ 13.00 = Potential liability of £185.28
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| 3-1 Liverpool | + £180.00 – £185.28 = £5.28 loss |
| Not 3-1 Liverpool and Liverpool win | – £20.00 + £14.66 + £15.00 (extract 75% from our £20.00 free bet) = £9.66 profit |
| Not 3-1 Liverpool and Liverpool don’t win | – £20.00 + £14.66 = £5.34 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £9.66 if Liverpool win the match by any scoreline other than 3-1 and we stand to lose a maximum of £5.34 on any other outcome. Risking £5.34 to make a profit of £9.66 gives us effective odds of 2.81. Given that Liverpool are odds of just 1.286 (2/7) to win the match, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, our free bet will be credited within 48 hours and will be valid for 30 days on any sports market.
If you’re unsure how to extract 75% of a £20.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* The match was drawn 0-0, resulting in a loss of £5.34 on this Sun Bets offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.