Man City v Man Utd Offer – Betfred

It’s Man City v Man Utd in the Premier League on Sunday and Betfred are getting in on the action! Simply place a £10.00+ pre-match bet on Man City v Man Utd and Betfred will give us a £5.00 free bet if Sterling or Fernandes score. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £3.52 and here’s how…

Key terms

  • Applies to single bets placed on Man City v Man Utd from 09:00 on Saturday 6th March 2021 until 16:30 (kick-off) on Sunday 7th March 2021.
  • Minimum stake of £10.00.
  • Minimum odds of 1.50 (1/2).
  • £5.00 free bet if Sterling or Fernandes score.

Qualifying bet

If you’d like more information about qualifying bets and how they work, please see my qualifying bets guide.

It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on No in the Both Teams To Score market at back odds of 2.00 (evens) and lay odds of 2.08.

Either exchange works for this offer

Betfair and Smarkets are both great options for this offer. If you’ve not used one of them, now is a great time to give them a try.

  • 2% commission for all new signups
  • 0% commission for 60 days

We can calculate our lay stakes using my Matched Betting Calculator

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.71…

Betfred logo

Place £10.00 on ‘Both Teams To Score – No’ @ 2.00 = Potential profit of £10.00

Betfair logo

Lay £9.71 on ‘Both teams to Score? – No’ @ 2.08 = Potential liability of £10.48

Outcomes

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

OutcomeBetfredBetfairProfit/Loss
Both teams score – Yes+ £10.00– £10.48£0.48 loss
Both teams score – No– £10.00+ £9.51£0.49 loss

So, regardless of the outcome, we’ll lose a maximum of £0.49 in qualifying for our potential free bet.

Free bet

We’ll receive a £5.00 free bet if Sterling or Fernandes score. Free bets will be credited by 17:00 on Monday 8th March 2021 and will be valid until 09:00 on Tuesday 9th March 2021.

Using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to convert our free bet into 80% cash, so £4.00. If we take into account our minimum qualifying loss of £0.48, this gives us a potential profit of £3.52 on this Betfred offer!

Risking a potential loss of £0.49 to make a potential profit of £3.52 gives us effective odds of 8.18. So, given that Sterling and Fernandes are odds of 2.50 (6/4) and 3.75 (11/4) respectively to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

* Fernandes scored in a 2-0 win for Man Utd, resulting in a profit of £3.51 on this Betfred offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £60,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.