It’s Man City v Schalke 04 in the Champions League on Tuesday night and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power. Simply place a bet on selected markets and if Aguero scores, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £6.20 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Qualifying bets must be placed between 17:00 on Saturday 9th March 2019 and 20:00 (kick-off) on Tuesday 12th March 2019.
- The eligible markets are First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Correct Score and WhatOddsPaddy.
- If our first bet loses and Aguero scores, Paddy Power will refund our stake as a free bet, up to £10.00.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Our best option is likely to be the Correct Score market. Ideally, we should select a scoreline that doesn’t see Man City score, but it depends on the odds that are available.
Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on 2-1 Man City (9/1).
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Extracted | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|
2-1 Man City | +£90.00 | -£91.80 | £1.80 loss | |
Not 2-1 Man City and Aguero scores | -£10.00 | +£8.20 | +£8.00 | £6.20 profit |
Not 2-1 Man City and Aguero doesn’t score | -£10.00 | +£8.20 | £1.80 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £6.20 if Aguero scores and we stand to lose around £1.80 on any other outcome. Risking £1.80 to make a profit of £6.20, gives us effective odds of 4.44. So, given that Aguero is odds of just 1.444 (4/9) to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within two hours of the match ending and will be valid for 7 days on football markets.
If you’re unsure how to extract £8.00 cash (80%) from the £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* Man City won the match 7-0 with Aguero scoring twice, resulting in a profit of £6.20 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.