It’s Man Utd v Chelsea in the Premier League on Sunday and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power. Simply place a bet on selected markets and if Alexis Sanchez scores anytime, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £6.50 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
The eligible markets are First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Correct Score and WhatOddsPaddy.
For our qualifying bet, we need to back and lay a selection of our choice. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on a 1-1 draw (11/2) in the Correct Score market.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Aim to lose no more than £1.00 on our qualifying bet
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| 1-1 draw | + £55.00 – £56.00 = £1.00 loss |
| Not a 1-1 draw and Sanchez scores | – £10.00 + £9.00 + £7.50 (extract 75% from our £10.00 free bet) = £6.50 profit |
| Not a 1-1 draw and Sanchez doesn’t score | – £10.00 + £9.00 = £1.00 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £6.50 if the match isn’t drawn 1-1 and Alexis Sanchez scores. We stand to lose £1.00 on any other outcome. Risking £1.00 to make a profit of £6.50 gives us effective odds of 7.50. Given that Alexis Sanchez is odds of just 3.30 (23/10) to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run even though we need any score other than a 1-1 draw.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within two hours of the final whistle and will be valid for 7 days on football markets.
If you’re unsure how to extract 75% of a £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* Man Utd won the match 2-1 and Sanchez didn’t score, resulting in a loss of £1.00 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.