Man Utd v Tottenham Offer – TLCBet

It’s Man Utd v Tottenham in the FA Cup Semi-Finals today and you don’t want to miss this TLCBet offer! Simply place a £15.00 pre-match bet on any Man Utd v Tottenham market and if the game is settled in extra time or penalties, TLCBet will give us a £10.00 bonus! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £6.44 and here’s how…

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.

To qualify, we must place a pre-match bet of exactly £15.00, at odds of 2.00 (evens) or greater, on any Man Utd v Tottenham market.

Qualifying bets must be placed between 10:00 on Friday 20th April 2018 and 17:15 (kick-off) on Saturday 21st April 2018, to be eligible.

It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Tottenham in the ‘1X2 Full Time market.

I like to place my exchange lay bets with Betfair as they have great liquidity and the site is really easy to use.

We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £14.68…

TLCBet logo

Place £15.00 on Tottenham @ 2.30 = Potential profit of £19.50

Betfair logo

Lay £14.68 on Tottenham @ 2.40 = Potential liability of £20.55

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Tottenham win + £19.50 – £20.55 = £1.05 loss
Draw – £15.00 + £13.94 + £7.50 (extract 75% from £10.00 bonus) = £6.44 profit
Man Utd win – £15.00 + £13.94 = £1.06 loss

So, if the match is a draw after 90 minutes and extra-time is required, we’ll make a nice profit of £6.44. Any other outcome and we’ll have made a maximum loss of £1.06. Risking £1.06 to make a profit of £6.44 gives us effective odds of 7.08. So, given that the odds are just 3.35 for the game to be drawn, this is a profitable offer in the long run.

If eligible, our bonus will be credited within 48 hours and will be valid for 5 days. The bonus is effectively a free bet, given that the bonus stake is not included with any returns.

If you’re not sure how to extract 75% cash from a free bet, please see my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

* Man Utd won the match 2-1 in 90 minutes, resulting in a loss of £1.06 on this TLCBet offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.