There’s plenty of Premier League action to look forward to this weekend and you don’t want to miss this Paddy Power offer! Simply place a Kicker bet on one of this weekend’s Premier League matches, and if it loses, Paddy Power will give us our money-back as a free bet, up to £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £62.73 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
‘Kicker’ is only available through iOS and Android apps.
A kicker bet is an additional bet that boosts your winnings depending on how many goals your team wins by.
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
If the Kicker part of our bet loses, Paddy Power will refund the Kicker stake as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00.
I’ve opted to do this offer as a speculative bet. We can place £10.00 on a team to win, with a £10.00 Kicker. We can then lay the standard part of our qualifying bet and leave the Kicker part to run, safe in the knowledge that if it loses, we’ll get our stake back as a free bet.
Having looked at the odds available for Arsenal v Hull City, I’ve opted to place £10.00 on Arsenal to beat Hull City with a £10.00 Kicker.
We’ll tackle the standard part first…
I like to place my exchange lay bets with Smarkets as they have great liquidity, the site is really easy to use and they only charge 2% commission in comparison to the 5% charged by other betting exchanges.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.92…
Place £10.00 on Arsenal @ 1.30 = Potential profit of £3.00
Lay £9.92 on Arsenal @ 1.33 = Potential liability of £3.27
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Arsenal win | + £3.00 – £3.27 = £0.27 loss |
| Arsenal don’t win | – £10.00 + £9.73 (£9.92 minus 2% commission) = £0.27 loss |
So, regardless of the outcome, we’ll lose £0.27 on the standard part of our qualifying bet.
The £10.00 Kicker will return the following potential profits…
| Arsenal wins by | Profit |
|---|---|
| 3 goals | £8.30 |
| 4 goals | £26.60 |
| 5+ goals | £63.00 |
If Arsenal don’t win by at least 3 goals, our £10.00 Kicker stake will be refunded as a free bet by midnight the same day.
By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% cash from our £10.00 free bet, so £8.00. This means the most we stand to lose on this offer is £2.27, but with £62.73 profit up for grabs, this offer is well worth a shot!
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.