The Premier League 2018/19 season gets underway on Friday and Paddy Power are getting in on the action! Bet £10.00 on the Top Goalscorer market and Paddy Power will give us a £5.00 free bet to use on the opening weekend. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.70 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
Qualifying bets of £10.00 must be placed before the season gets underway at 20:00 on Friday 10th August 2018, to be eligible.
Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (13/2).
Just bear in mind that our exchange funds will be tied up until the end of the season. The alternative is to not lay our bet and just let the qualifying bet run for a shot at a big profit.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Aim to lose no more than £0.30 on our qualifying bet
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Aubameyang top scores | + £65.00 – £65.30 = £0.30 loss |
| Aubameyang doesn’t top score | – £10.00 + £9.70 = £0.30 loss |
So, regardless of who finishes top goalscorer, we’ll lose £0.30 in qualifying for our £5.00 free bet.
Free Bet:
Our £5.00 free bet will be credited automatically and can be used on any Premier League market between Friday 10th August 2018 and Sunday 12th August 2018. Free bet stakes are not included in any returns.
By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% cash from our £5.00 free bet, so £4.00. If we take into account our qualifying loss of £0.30, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.70 on this Paddy Power offer!
* Aubameyang finished joint Top Goalscorer on 22 goals with Salah and Mane. Due to Dead Heat rules, we made an overall qualifying loss of £0.16, resulting in an overall profit of £3.84 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £100,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.