The start of the Premier League 2018/19 season is fast approaching and you don’t want to miss this Unibet offer. Simply opt in and bet £25.00 on the Top Goalscorer and Unibet will give us a £5.00 free bet every time they score twice or a £10.00 free bet if they score a hat-trick! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £24.71 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
We must opt in to this offer and place our qualifying bet before 20:00 on Friday 10th August 2018, to be eligible.
It’s entirely up to you which player you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Mohamed Salah.
At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.
Just bear in mind that our exchange funds will be tied up until the end of the season. The alternative is to not lay our bet and just let the qualifying bet run. Mo Salah should score twice enough times to cover some of the £25.00 stake and we could win big if he goes on to be top goalscorer.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £22.12…
Place £25.00 on Mo Salah @ 6.00 = Potential profit of £125.00
Lay £22.12 on Mo Salah @ 6.80 = Potential liability of £128.29
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Mo Salah top scores | + £125.00 – £128.29 = £3.29 loss |
| Mo Salah doesn’t top score | – £25.00 + £21.67 (£22.12 minus 2% commission) = £3.33 loss |
So, regardless of who is top goalscorer, we’ll lose a maximum of £3.33 in qualifying for our potential free bets.
NOTE: It’s worth pointing out that if we select the same player for the various different bookmaker Top Goalscorer offers, we would need a huge amount in our exchange account to cover the overall liability. By selecting a few different players, we can reduce our overall liability at the exchange. That’s because only one player can be top goalscorer (winnings are reduced if players finish tied), so we just need enough exchange funds to cover the player with the largest liability.
Free Bets:
For every Premier League 2018/19 match in which Mo Salah scores twice, we’ll receive a £5.00 free bet within 48 hours. Free bets will be valid for 7 days.
In 2017/18, Mo Salah scored twice in 5 different Premier League matches and also scored a hat-trick in another. If Mo Salah can repeat that this season, we’ll receive £35.00 in free bets.
By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% cash from our £35.00 in free bets, so £28.00. If we take our minimum qualifying loss of £3.29 into account, we stand to make a potential profit of £24.71 on this Unibet offer!
* Mo Salah scored 2 goals twice and 3 goals once on his way to finishing joint Top Goalscorer on 22 goals with Aubameyang and Mane. Due to Dead Heat rules, we made a profit of £25.00 at Unibet and lost £28.02 at Smarkets, resulting in an overall profit of £12.98 on this Unibet offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.