The wait for Premier League football comes to an end on Friday and you don’t want to miss this Betfred offer. Simply bet £10.00+ on the Premier League 2019/20 top goalscorer and Betfred will give us a £5.00 free bet for every game our player scores in between 9th August 2019 and 1st September 2019! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £15.32 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Qualifying bets must be placed between 00:00 on Monday 5th August 2019 and 20:00 on Friday 9th August 2019.
- We must place a £10.00 win or £5.00 each way bet on the Premier League 2019-2020 – Top Goalscorer market.
- We’ll receive a £5.00 free bet for every Premier League game our player scores in between 9th August 2019 and 1st September 2019.
NOTE: This post has been put together from a matched betting perspective. It’s important to bear in mind though that this means tying up some of our exchange funds until the end of the season. The alternative is to place a qualifying bet without laying. Our selected player should score in enough games to cover some of the £10.00 stake and we could win big if he goes on to be top goalscorer.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
It’s entirely up to you which player you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
At the time of writing, laying our bet at Betfair gives us the smallest qualifying loss.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.82…
Place £10.00 on Aubameyang @ 8.00 = Potential profit of £70.00
Lay £9.82 on Aubameyang @ 8.20 = Potential liability of £70.70
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
Aubameyang top scores | +£70.00 | -£70.70 | £0.70 loss |
Aubameyang doesn’t top score | -£10.00 | +£9.32 | £0.68 loss |
So, regardless of who finishes top goalscorer, we’ll lose a maximum of £0.70 in qualifying for our potential free bets.
NOTE: It’s worth pointing out that if we select the same player for the various different bookmaker Top Goalscorer offers, we would need a large amount in our exchange account to cover the overall liability. By selecting a few different players, we can reduce our overall liability at the exchange. That’s because only one player can be top goalscorer (winnings are reduced if players finish tied), so we just need enough exchange funds to cover the player with the largest liability.
Free Bets:
For every Premier League game in which Aubameyang scores between 9th August 2019 and 1st September 2019, we’ll receive a £5.00 free bet within 24 hours. Free bets will be valid for 7 days.
Aubameyang plays for Arsenal and their scheduled fixtures are against Newcastle (A), Burnley (H), Liverpool (A) and Tottenham (H). If Aubameyang scores in all four games, we’ll receive £20.00 in free bets.
By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% cash from our £20.00 in free bets, so £16.00. If we take into account our minimum qualifying loss of £0.68, this gives us a potential profit of £15.32 on this Betfred offer!
* Aubameyang scored in 3 of the 4 matches but did not finish top goalscorer, resulting in a profit of £11.32 on this Betfred offer. *
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Bob
Guest userThe betfred app is so awkward to use, does anybody know how to find this market i can’t find it for the life of me
Matt
1490Try this Bob…
Football > More > UK Leagues & Cups > English Premier League > Premier League 2019-2020 > Top Goalscorer
You can also click ‘Bet Here‘ on the promotion page and it will take you through to the Outright Markets page.
Bob
Guest userFound it thanks!