Premier League 2019/20 Offer – Partypoker

Premier League football returns on Friday and you don’t want to miss this Partypoker offer. Simply bet £20.00+ on the Premier League 2019/20 top goalscorer and Partypoker will give us a £2.00 free bet every time our player scores during the season! Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £32.54 and here’s how…

Key Terms:

  • We must opt-in to this offer on the promotion page, to be eligible.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed between 00:00 on Friday 2nd August 2019 and 23:59 on Thursday 8th August 2019.
  • We must bet £20.00+ on the Premier League 2019/2020 – Top Goalscorer market.
  • We’ll receive a £2.00 free bet every time our player scores a Premier League goal during the season.

NOTE: This post has been put together from a matched betting perspective. It’s important to bear in mind though that this means tying up some of our exchange funds until the end of the season. The alternative is to place a qualifying bet without laying. Our selected player should score enough goals to cover some of the £20.00 stake and we could win big if he goes on to be top goalscorer.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

It’s entirely up to you which player you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Mohamed Salah.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £17.70…

Partypoker logo

Place £20.00 on Salah @ 6.00 = Potential profit of £100.00

Smarkets logo

Lay £17.70 on Salah @ 6.80 = Potential liability of £102.66

Outcomes:

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Outcome Bookie Exchange Profit/Loss
Salah top scores +£100.00 -£102.66 £2.66 loss
Salah doesn’t top score -£20.00 +£17.34 £2.66 loss

So, regardless of who finishes top goalscorer, we’ll lose £2.66 in qualifying for our potential free bets.

NOTE: It’s worth pointing out that if we select the same player for the various different bookmaker Top Goalscorer offers, we would need a large amount in our exchange account to cover the overall liability. By selecting a few different players, we can reduce our overall liability at the exchange. That’s because only one player can be top goalscorer (winnings are reduced if players finish tied), so we just need enough exchange funds to cover the player with the largest liability.

Free Bets:

Every time Mohamed Salah scores a Premier League goal during the season, we’ll receive a £2.00 free bet within 24 hours of the respective game week completing. Free bets will be valid for 3 days.

Salah plays for Liverpool and can potentially play in all 38 of their scheduled Premier League fixtures. If Salah can repeat last season’s tally of 22 goals, we’ll receive £44.00 in free bets.

By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% cash from our £44.00 in free bets, so £35.20. If we take into account our qualifying loss of £2.66, this gives us a potential profit of £32.54 on this Partypoker offer!

* Mohamed Salah scored 19 goals and did not finish the season as Top Goalscorer, resulting in a profit of £27.74 on this Partypoker offer. *

Got a question?
Leave me a comment below…

I usually respond within 24 hours.

Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.