It’s a big New Year’s Day of Premier League football and The Pools are getting in on the action! Simply place a £30.00+ bet on any UK live TV match and The Pools will give us a £10.00 free bet if both teams score in Arsenal v Man Utd. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £7.14 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- The minimum stake to qualify is £30.00.
- We must place our bet at odds of 2.00 (evens) or greater.
- Qualifying bets must be placed and settled on Wednesday 1st January 2020.
- Get a £10.00 free bet if both teams score in Arsenal v Man Utd.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
The eligible qualifying matches are as follows…
| Kick-Off | Fixture |
|---|---|
| 12:30 | Brighton v Chelsea |
| 12:30 | Burnley v Aston Villa |
| 15:00 | Newcastle v Leicester |
| 15:00 | Southampton v Tottenham |
| 15:00 | Watford v Wolves |
| 17:30 | Man City v Everton |
| 17:30 | Norwich v Crystal Palace |
| 17:30 | West Ham v Bournemouth |
| 20:00 | Arsenal v Man Utd |
It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Tottenham to beat Southampton.
At the time of writing, laying our bet at Betfair gives us the smallest qualifying loss.
Betfair are currently running a great sign up offer where you pay 0% commission up to £500 for the first 30 days…
If you already have a Betfair account, you can opt to pay just 2% commission by selecting the Basic package.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £29.73…
Place £30.00 on Tottenham @ 2.20 = Potential profit of £36.00
Lay £29.73 on Tottenham @ 2.24 = Potential liability of £36.86
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham win | +£36.00 | -£36.86 | £0.86 loss |
| Tottenham don’t win | -£30.00 | +£29.13 | £0.87 loss |
So, regardless of the outcome, we’ll lose a maximum of £0.87 in qualifying for our potential £10.00 free bet.
Free Bet:
We’ll receive a £10.00 free bet if both teams score in Arsenal v Man Utd. Free bets will be credited by 12:00 the day after settlement of our qualifying bet and will be valid for 7 days. Free bet stakes will not be included with any returns.
By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% cash from our £10.00 free bet, so £8.00. If we take into account our minimum qualifying loss of £0.86, this gives us a potential profit of £7.14 on this The Pools offer!
* Southampton beat Tottenham 1-0 and Arsenal beat Man Utd 2-0, resulting in a loss of £0.87 on this The Pools offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.