It’s Roma v Liverpool in the Champions League tonight and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power. Simply place a bet on selected markets and if Mo Salah scores anytime, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as a free bet, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £6.00 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
The eligible markets are First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Correct Score and WhatOddsPaddy.
For our qualifying bet, we need to back and lay a selection of our choice. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on a 1-1 draw (17/2) in the Correct Score market.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Aim to lose no more than £1.50 on our qualifying bet
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| 1-1 draw | + £85.00 – £86.50 = £1.50 loss |
| Not a 1-1 draw and Salah scores | – £10.00 + £8.50 + £7.50 (extract 75% from our £10.00 free bet) = £6.00 profit |
| Not a 1-1 draw and Salah doesn’t score | – £10.00 + £8.50 = £1.50 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £6.00 if the match isn’t drawn 1-1 and Mo Salah scores and we stand to lose £1.50 on any other outcome. Risking £1.50 to make a profit of £6.00 gives us effective odds of 5.00. So, given that Mo Salah is odds of just 1.727 (8/11) to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, free bets will be credited within 2 hours of the match ending and will be valid for 7 days on football markets.
If you’re unsure how to extract 75% cash from a £10.00 free bet, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.
* Roma won the match 4-2 and Mo Salah didn’t score, resulting in a loss of £1.50 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.