It’s Salford City v AFC Fylde in the National League Play-Off Final on Saturday and you don’t want to miss this LV BET Money Back Special! Place a single pre-match bet on Salford City or AFC Fylde to win the match and if the match is a draw, LV BET will refund our stake in cash, up to a maximum of £20.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £18.22 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Qualifying single bets must placed pre-match on the Match Result market (excluding the draw).
- Qualifying bets must be placed between 14:00 on Wednesday 8th May 2019 and 15:00 (kick-off) on Saturday 11th May 2019.
- If the match is a draw after 90 minutes, LV BET will refund our stake in cash, up to £20.00.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
It’s entirely up to you which team you place your qualifying bet on. At the time of writing, the lay odds aren’t quite tight enough, so I’ll use fictional lay odds for Salford City in the following example and I’ll update the bottom of the post with some actual odds after the match.
At the time of writing, laying our bet with Smarkets is likely to give us the smallest qualifying loss.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £18.60…
Place £20.00 on Salford City @ 2.40 = Potential profit of £28.00
Lay £18.60 on Salford City @ 2.60 = Potential liability of £29.76
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Cashback | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salford City win | +£28.00 | -£29.76 | £1.76 loss | |
| Draw | -£20.00 | +£18.22 | +£20.00 | £18.22 profit |
| AFC Fylde win | -£20.00 | +£18.22 | £1.78 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £18.22 if the match is a draw after 90 minutes and we stand to lose a maximum of £1.78 on any other outcome. Risking £1.78 to make a profit of £18.22 gives us effective odds of 11.24. So, given that the odds are 3.20 (11/5) for the match to be drawn, this a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, cash refunds will be credited by 16:00 on Tuesday 14th May 2019.
* Salford City were available at back odds of 2.40 and lay odds of 2.56. Salford City won the match 3-0, resulting in a loss of £1.48 on this LV BET offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.