Guaranteed Profit
Actual Profit

Tottenham v Liverpool Offer – SportPesa

Posted by Matt (administrator) Matt
Start Time: 15/09/2018 12:30

It’s Tottenham v Liverpool in Saturday’s early kick-off and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from SportPesa! Place a bet of up to £100.00 on any market for Tottenham v Liverpool and if our bet loses, SportPesa will refund 25% of our stake as a bonus, up to a maximum of £25.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £10.64 and here’s how…

Banner showing the Tottenham v Liverpool offer from SportPesa

Key Terms:

  • The minimum and maximum qualifying stakes are £10.00 and £100.00 respectively.
  • Qualifying bets must be placed between 10:00 on Thursday 13th September 2018 and 12:30 (kick-off) on Saturday 15th September 2018.
  • We must place our bet at odds of 2.00 (evens) or greater.
  • If our bet loses, SportPesa will refund 25% of our stake as a bonus.

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

Losing stakes are partially refunded as a bonus, so this is effectively a risk-free bet offer.

It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on a Draw in the ‘1X2 Full Time‘ market.

At the time of writing, laying our bet with Smarkets gives us the biggest guaranteed profit.

We can calculate our lay stake by using the ‘Risk-Free Bet‘ setting on my matched betting calculator. We can enter £20.00 as our ‘Cashback’ figure as this is the amount we can expect to extract (80%) from our £25.00 bonus refund, should our bet lose…

Select bet type

Back Bet (Bookie)


Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
If back (bookie) bet wins
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
= £

Total profit: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £92.49…

SportPesa logo

Place £100.00 on a draw @ 3.65 = Potential profit of £265.00

Smarkets logo

Lay £92.49 on a draw @ 3.75 = Potential liability of £254.34


Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Draw+ £265.00 – £254.34 = £10.66 profit
Not a draw- £100.00 + £90.64 + £20.00 (extract 80% from our £25.00 bonus) = £10.64 profit

So, regardless of the outcome, we’ll make a guaranteed profit of £10.64 on this SportPesa offer!

If our selection loses, our free bet will be credited within 48 hours of our qualifying bet being settled and will be valid for 5 days.

The bonus stake is not included in any returns, so we can treat it exactly the same as a stake not returned free bet.

If you’re unsure how to extract around 80% cash from a £25.00 stake not returned bonus, check out my Free Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

* Liverpool won the match 2-1, resulting in a profit of £10.64 on this SportPesa offer. *


  1. kath

    Guest user

    hi matt I have a similiar email offer from Sportnation but it is if the bet wins and only team a or b no draw would you still use risk-free calculation

    1. Matt


      Hi Kath. For future reference, you would need to do things a little differently.

      I don’t know what the offer was exactly but let’s say it was a 25% win bonus and you wanted to place a qualifying bet of £100.00 on Liverpool at odds of 2.30.

      You would need to work out your effective odds. If Liverpool win, your bet will return £230.00 plus a bonus of £32.50. You can then extract £26.00 cash (80%) from the bonus, giving you total returns of £256.00. You just need to divide the £256.00 by your initial stake of £100.00, to get your effective odds of 2.56. So, you can enter 2.56 as your back odds instead of 2.30. You can either lay it normally for a guaranteed profit or underlay for a bigger risk-free potential profit.


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