It’s Tottenham v Man City in the Premier League on Sunday and you don’t want to miss this Money Back Special from Paddy Power. Simply place a bet on any market and if Aguero scores, Paddy Power will refund all losing bets as cash, up to a maximum of £10.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £8.70 and here’s how…
Key Terms:
- Qualifying bets must be placed between 15:00 on Tuesday 28th January 2020 and 16:30 (kick-off) on Sunday 2nd February 2020.
- This offer applies to all Tottenham v Man City markets.
- If our first bet loses and Aguero scores, Paddy Power will refund our stake as cash, up to £10.00.
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unsure about how to place qualifying bets, check out my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
It’s entirely up to you what you place your qualifying bet on. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on Tottenham (9/2) in the Match Odds market.
We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator.
Aim to lose no more than £1.30 on our qualifying bet
Outcomes:
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Outcome | Bookie | Exchange | Cashback | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham win | +£45.00 | -£46.30 | £1.30 loss | |
| Tottenham don’t win and Aguero scores | -£10.00 | +£8.70 | +£10.00 | £8.70 profit |
| Tottenham don’t win and Aguero doesn’t score | -£10.00 | +£8.70 | £1.30 loss |
So, we’ll make a nice profit of £8.70 if Tottenham don’t win and Aguero scores for Man City and we stand to lose around £1.30 on any other outcome. Risking £1.30 to make a profit of £8.70, gives us effective odds of 7.69. So, given that Aguero is odds of just 1.727 (8/11) to score anytime, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, our cash bonus will be credited by 12:00 on Monday 3rd February 2020.
* Tottenham won the match 2-0, resulting in a loss of £1.30 on this Paddy Power offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.