It’s Tunisia v England in Group G tonight and you don’t want to miss this 188BET offer! If Harry Kane scores first in Tunisia v England, 188BET will refund our first losing mobile bet in cash, up to a maximum of £25.00. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a potential profit of £23.49 and here’s how…
Qualifying Bet:
If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how they should be done.
Qualifying bets must be placed via mobile between 00:01 on Sunday 17th June 2018 and 19:00 (kick-off) on Monday 18th June 2018, to be eligible.
Only our first losing bet is refunded in the event that Kane scores first, so we need to select something that we don’t think will come in. We can place our qualifying bet on any market. Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on a Draw in the ‘1 X 2‘ market.
At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.
We can calculate our lay stake using my matched betting calculator…
As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £23.97…
Place £25.00 on a draw @ 4.20 = Potential profit of £80.00
Lay £23.97 on a draw @ 4.40 = Potential liability of £81.49
Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…
| Draw | + £80.00 – £81.49 = £1.49 loss |
| Not a draw and Kane scores first | – £25.00 + £23.49 + £25.00 (cash refund) = £23.49 profit |
| Not a draw and Kane doesn’t score first | – £25.00 + £23.49 = £1.51 loss |
So, if the match isn’t drawn and Kane scores first, we’ll make a nice profit of £23.49. Any other outcome and we’ll have made a maximum loss of £1.51. Risking £1.51 to make a profit of £23.49, gives us effective odds of 16.56. So, given that Kane is odds of just 3.20 to score first, this is a profitable offer in the long run.
If eligible, our cash refund will be credited automatically by 12:00 on Tuesday 19th June 2018.
* Harry Kane scored first and England won the match 2-1, resulting in a profit of £23.49 on this 188BET offer. *
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Matt Kirman – Matched Betting Blogger
Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £85,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.