Uruguay v France Offer – MansionBet

The World Cup 2018 Quarter-Finals get underway on Friday and you don’t want to miss this MansionBet ‘Bet £10, Get £5’ offer! Place £10.00+ pre-match on Uruguay v France and MansionBet will give us a £5.00 free bet to use on Brazil v Belgium. Translated into matched betting terms, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.39 and here’s how…

Qualifying Bet:

If you’re unfamiliar with qualifying bets, please see my Qualifying Bet Strategy page for a walk-through guide on how it should be done.

Qualifying bets must be placed at odds of 1.50 (1/2) or greater between 00:00 on Thursday 5th July 2018 and 15:00 (kick-off) on Friday 6th July 2018, to be eligible.

Having looked at the odds available, we could place our qualifying bet on a Draw in the 1X2 Full Time market.

At the time of writing, laying our bet at Smarkets gives us the smallest qualifying loss.

We can calculate our lay stakes using my matched betting calculator…

Back Bet (Bookie)

%

Lay Bet (Betting Exchange)

%

Min £
Max £
Lay stake required: £
Bookie
Exchange
Cashback
Total
If back (bookie) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
If lay (exchange) bet wins
£
£
£
= £
Total profit: £

Optimal Underlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

Optimal Overlay

Lay stake required: £
Exchange liability: £

If back (bookie) bet wins: £
If lay (exchange) bet wins: £

As you can see, the calculator tells us that our lay stake should be £9.59…

Mansionbet logo

Place £10.00 on a draw @ 3.05 = Potential profit of £20.50

Smarkets logo

Lay £9.59 on a draw @ 3.20 = Potential liability of £21.09

Let’s have a look at our potential profit/loss for the possible outcomes…

Draw + £20.50 – £21.09 = £0.59 loss
Not a draw – £10.00 + £9.39 (£9.59 minus 2% commission) = £0.61 loss

So, regardless of the outcome, we’ll lose a maximum of £0.61 in qualifying for our £5.00 free bet.

Free Bet:

Our £5.00 free bet will be credited once we have placed our qualifying bet and chosen ‘Accept’ on the promotion pop-up. The free bet can only be used on Brazil v Belgium (19:00 kick-off) and free bet stakes are not included in any returns.

By using straightforward matched betting, we should be able to extract 80% out of the £5.00 free bet as cash, so £4.00. If we take into account our maximum qualifying loss of £0.61, this gives us a guaranteed profit of £3.39 on this Mansionbet offer!

* France won the match 2-0, resulting in a profit of £3.39 on this MansionBet offer. *

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Matt Kirman - Matched Betting Blogger

Matt KirmanMatched Betting Blogger

Since 2014, I’ve blogged over £70,000 worth of profit, and made it my mission to make matched betting accessible to everyone.